Sunday May 29 (Nine MLB Picks against Vegas)

Here are my nine plays for Sunday May 29

 

1. Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays  (Red Sox -1.5, +120)

Red Sox (Price 7-1, 5.34)  Blue Jays (Dickey 2-6, 4.60)

After a rough start to the season, David Price is now 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA over his past three starts. Price is also 8-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 10 meetings against the Blue Jays. Since the start of last season,  RA Dickey is 0-5 with a 5.21 ERA in eight starts against Boston. I like the Red Sox here.

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Indians (Orioles Moneyline -125)

Orioles (Tillman 6-1, 2.61)  Indians (Clevinger 0-1, 8.71)

Baltimore has lost five out of six games but I think things will begin turn around for the Orioles here.  Chris Tillman has been the Orioles best starting pitcher this season.

Cleveland rookie Mike Clevinger has allowed 10 earned runs in his first two starts over 10 1/3 innings. I like the Orioles to win here.

3. Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals (Royals +1.5, -125)

White Sox (Sale 9-1, 2.26) Royals (Volquez 5-4, 3.67)

White Sox are beginning to struggle coming in as loser of five in a row. Saturday the Royals scored seven runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to defeat the Sox.  Several Royals have very good career numbers against Sale.

I like the Royals here, but coming off of a bad start I do not doubt Chris Sale’s ability to get back on track and lead Chicago to victory. If Volquez can keep the Royals in the game before the bullpens take over then the advantage is in the Royals favor. I am picking the Royals to cover -1.5 here, meaning either Kansas City wins or loses by one run or less.

4. St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5, +125)

Cardinals (Wacha 2-5, 5.04)  Strasburg (8-0, 2.79)

Michael Wacha has given up 14 earned runs in his last eight innings pitched and lost his last five decisions.  I am picking the Nationals and Stephen Strasburg, who has a chance to improve to 9-0 on the season.

5. Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics (Athletics Moneyline-165)

Tigers (Pelfrey 0-4, 5.55)  A’s (Hill 7-3, 2.18)

The Tigers are 3-6 against left handed pitchers on the season. Rich Hill beat the Tigers on April 26, allowing no earned runs over seven innings. Hill gives the A’s the clear pitching advantage here. The Tigers offense has been hot, but Mike Pelfrey starting does not give Detroit the best chance. I like Oakland to win.

6. San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Padres Moneyline -120)

Padres (Pomeranz 4-4, 1.70) Diamondbacks (Bradley 1-0, 7.84)

Arizona is starting Archie Bradley who has just been called up from AAA. Over 10 career starts he has a 6.26 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. The advantage here is with Drew Pomeranz and the Padres.

7. Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (Mariners -1.5, +120)

Twins (Nolasco 1-3, 5.54)  Mariners (Walker 2-4, 2.70)

The Twins have won three in a row, I trend that should be coming to an end soon.  The Twins have lost the last five games that Nolasco has started.

Despite losing his last four decisions, Taijuan Walker has not allowed more then four earned runs in any starts this season. The Mariners are the better team with the better starting pitcher here. I like Seattle to win by more than a run.

8. Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (Braves Moneyline -130)

Marlins (Koehler 2-5, 4.79) Braves (Teheran 1-4, 2.57)

On April 16 Tom Koehler gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 inning to the Braves. Current Braves hitters are batting .370 against Koehler overall.

As bad as Atlanta has been this season, the Braves are 5-0 against the Marlins.Julio Teheran has allowed only one run or less in his last six starts.  For his career Teheran is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts against the Marlins.  I like Atlanta to complete the sweep.

9. Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets (Dodgers Moneyline -210)

Dodgers (Kershaw 7-1, 1.48) Mets (Colon 4-3, 3.44)

The Dodgers defeated the Mets 5-0 when Clayton Kershaw faced Bartolo Colon on May 17 in Los Angeles.

Kershaw is 7-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his ten career regular season starts against the Mets. I am expecting a Dodgers win.

 

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Wednesday May 25 MLB Picks

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (Cubs Moneyline -170)

Cubs (Arrieta 8-0, 1.29) Cardinals (Martinez 4-4, 3.56)

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Cubs are 9-0 when Arrieta has taken the mound this season

I am going to keep this real simple. Jake Arrieta is 8-0 and Cubs are 9-0 when he starts.  Betting on Jake Arrieta has not failed yet and there is no reason to jump ship now.  I’m picking the Cubs to win. 

 

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (Padres Moneyline +130)

Padres (Shields 2-6, 3.07)  Giants (Peavy 1-5, 8.21)

James Shields has lost twice to the Giants this season in 1-0 and 3-1 games. In those games he lost to Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija. The Giants are 8-0 against the Padres this season, however the Padres have not yet face Jake Peavy this season, who has struggled.

After losing eight straight to the Giants this season, it is time for the Padre’s luck to turn around. I like San Diego as the underdog today.

 

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Tuesday May 24 MLB Picks

Only two games today

Colorado Rockies @ Boston Red Sox (Red Sox -1.5 Runs -130)

Rockies (De La Rosa 1-3, 10.18) Red Sox (Price 6-1, 5.53)

Jorge de La Rosa has only made it out of the fifth inning once this season in five starts. Against the Red Sox there is a good chance that he will be knocked out of the game early again.  Boston leads all of MLB in batting average and runs scored. After struggling early, David Price has now put together two straight solid starts. I like Boston to win at home by more then a run.

Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox (White Sox Moneyline -165)

Indians (Tomlin 6-0, 3.56)  White Sox (Sale 9-0, 1.58)

Chris Sale has allowed two runs or less in his last seven starts. Sale has won all nine of his starts this season. Josh Tomlin has pitched well this season, but not to the same level of Sale. Cleveland is still 7-0 so far when Josh Tomlin starts. In the battle of unbeaten pitchers I am picking Chris Sale and the White Sox to win.

 

 

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Sunday May 22 MLB Picks

After going 4-2 yesterday we are looking to end the week ahead.

 

Seattle Mariners @ Cincinnati Reds (Mariners Moneyline -153)

Mariners (Miley 4-2, 4.32)  Reds (Simon 1-4, 10.34)

The Reds are not a good team right now. Cincinnati has dropped six straight and nine of their last ten games. The Reds are also 0-6 against the American League. I like the Mariners to win.

 

Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins (Nationals Moneyline -135)

Nationals (Scherzer 4-3, 4.01 ) Marlins (Conley 3-2, 3.40)

Washington is 5-1 against left handed pitchers this season. The Nationals are also seventh in MLB in batting average against left handed pitchers. Conley has a 8.22 ERA in three career starts against Washington. I am picking Washington and Max Scherzer to win.

 

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants (Giants Moneyline -121)

Cubs (Hendricks 2-3, 3.51)  Giants (Bumgarner 5-2, 2.45)

Current Giants have a .306 career batting average against Kyle Hendricks. I like the Madison Bumgarner led Giants to win.

 

 

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Saturday May 21 MLB Picks

Here are my six MLB picks for today

 

New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics (Yankees Moneyline -150) 

Yankees (Tanaka 1-0, 3.51)  Athletics (Manaea 1-1, 7.91)

Athletics lineup is 0-12 career against Tanaka. I like the Yankees to win against the rookie Sean Manaea.

 

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers (Over 8.5 runs, -110)

Rays (Smyly 2-4, 3.44)  Tigers (Fulmer 2-1, 6.52)

Overs are 27-13-1 in Detroit games this season.  The over is 4-0 when Michael Fulmer starts. Drew Smyly’s last three starts have gone over. Look for over 8.5 runs to be scored here.

Seattle Mariners at Cincinnati Reds (Mariners -1.5 Runs, -105)

Mariners (Hernandez  3-3, 2.47) Reds (Lamb 0-1, 5.79)

Reds have dropped five straight and eight of their last nine games. Sending John Lamb to the mound against Seattle ace Felix Hernandez is not a good recipe for the Reds to break their losing streak.  Look for Seattle to win.

 

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants (Cubs Moneyline -160)

Cubs (Lester 4-2, 1.88)  Giants (Cain 0-5, 5.87)

Matt Cain has pitched much better in his last two starts, but I still like the Cubs to win here. John Lester is 3-0 against the Giants with an ERA of 1.11 for his career. I am picking a Cubs victory.

 

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels

Two picks: Orioles Moneyline -127 and Over 8 runs

Orioles (Gausman 0-1, 3.00)  Angels (Shoemaker 2-5, 8.49)

Matt Shoemaker was solid on the road against the Dodgers on Monday night, but overall has not pitched well this season. The Angels are 2-11 when Shoemaker starts over the last two seasons. Shoemaker has a 14.40 ERA in three home starts this and a 9.58 ERA in five night starts this season. I like Baltimore to win and over 8 runs to be scored.

 

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Tuesday May 17 Quick MLB Picks

Five plays for Tuesday May 17

 

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers 

Twins (Hughes 1-6, 6.44) Tigers (Pelfrey 0-4, 5.80)

Pick: Over 9.5 Runs (-105)

 

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians

Reds (Simon 1-3, 8.67) Indians (Salazar 3-2, 1.90)

Pick: Cleveland Indians Moneyline (-225)

 

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

Red Sox (Porcello 6-1, 3.11) Royals (Ventura 3-2, 4.62)

Pick: Over 7 runs (-125)

 

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers

Cubs (Hendricks 2-2, 3.03)  Brewers (Anderson 1-5, 6.11)

Pick: Chicago Cubs -1½ (-120)

 

Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers

Angeles (Weaver 3-2, 6.10) Dodgers (Kershaw 5-1, 1.74)

Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ (-140)

 

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Monday May 16 MLB Picks

 

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (Tigers Moneyline -163)

Twins (Berrios 1-1, 6.28) Tigers (Zimmerman 5-2, 1.50)

zimmermanThe Tigers have been struggling, but the Twins coming to Motown should be recipe for the Tigers to get back on track. Jose Berrios is a very promising young pitcher, but with Jordan Zimmerman on the mound I like the Tigers to beat the Twins for the fourth straight time this season.

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals (Over 8 Runs -110)

Red Sox (Porcello 6-1, 3.54) Royals (Ventura 3-2, 4.62)

The last seven Red Sox games have gone over. The over is only 13-22-2 in Royal’s games. I like the over because Yordano Ventura has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 12 innings pitched. Rick Porcello has a 5.24 ERA in his last four starts at Kansas City. As tough as the Royals are against overs this season, over 8 runs is not too much to ask for here.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians (Reds Moneyline +135)

Reds (Lamb 0-0, 1.80) Anderson (0-3, 7.31)

Cody Anderson is 0-2 with a 5.49 ERA in four career interleague starts.  This season Cleveland has lost all six games that Anderson has appeared in. The Indians are only hitting .234 and have 3-6  record against left handed pitchers this season. The Tribe are also only 1-5 in interleague play. I like the Reds as an underdog here.

 Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (Dodgers -1.5 Runs, +125)

Angels (Shoemaker 1-5, 9.12)  Dodgers (Maeda 3-2, 2.30)

sp-maeda-a-20160307-870x717All of Shoemaker’s losses have been by at least three runs this season.  Current Dodgers have a .353 batting average against Shoemaker. Led by Kenta Maeda, I like the Dodgers to win by more then one run here.

 

 

Last week record 11-11

Season record 38-28

 

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