Washington is 16-1 when Strasburg starts. Strasburg has not allowed more than four earned runs all season and current Dodgers have a lifetime .182 batting average against him with zero home runs in 66 at bats.

The Dodgers have won Urias’ last four starts, including a 4-3 win against Washington on June 22. However Urias did struggle in his last start where he allowed five earned runs over three and two-thirds innings against the Orioles.

I am taking the Nationals -181 and Strasburg over the Dodgers.

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Orioles (Tillman 13-2, 3.29) Yankees (Sabathia 5-7, 3.94)

After a great start things have taken a negative turn for Sabathia who is 0-3 with a 7.94 ERA over his last four starts.

Baltimore starter Chris Tillman is 5-2 with a 3.38 ERA in road games this season and has allowed only one earned run in each of his last three starts. The Orioles are also 9-0 when Tillman starts against the AL East.

The Orioles currently have several key injuries with Chris Davis, Manny Machado, Matt Wieters and Adam Jones all as question marks. The Orioles have only scored six runs over their last five games, despite not facing one pitcher with an ERA close to under 4.

Orioles Moneyline +115

Under 9 runs -125

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Tommy Milone is coming in off of a two game winning streak where he has received a total of 26 runs of support. Current Tigers have a .356 career batting average against Milone and the Tigers will need to slug their way to victory. Detroit has now gone eight straight games without scoring over four runs, they will definitely need over four to win this game. Tommy Milone did win at Comerica Park last season in his only start their and was 2-1 against the Tigers overall.

I expect a slug fest and I am playing the over, even at 10 runs. The game is a toss up, but+134 is good value to bet against Sanchez. I am taking the Twins in the upset.

Prediction: Twins 7 Tigers 5

Reds started Cody Reed is winless in nine career starts, while Braves starter Tyrell Jenkins will be making only his third career and second
start of the season. In his only start of the season Jenkins allowed one earned run in 4.2 innings in what led to a 4-3 Braves loss to the Phillies. Jenkins is yet to throw over 64 pitches in any game this season.

The Reds have allowed at least five runs in each start that Reed has made this season, with every game having at least a combined total of nine runs scored. Reed has only gone beyond five innings in one start, but he will hope for better results against a Braves offense that has struggled lately.

Atlanta has only scored over three runs twice in their last 12 games, however those two games came against south paw starters Chris Sale and Jose Quintana of the Chicago White Sox.

For two winless pitches, the -148 seems like a high price tag for the Reds to be worth the wager to me. I expect that the bullpens will have a lot to do with the final outcome of this game and the Reds bullpen is not very good, coming in with a 5.56 ERA on the season. Despite the recent struggles today is a great opportunity for the Atlanta offense to come alive.

With so much uncertainty around this game bet at your own risk. However, I am going with Atlanta. With things being able to go either way, the best value bet is with the +136 Braves as an underdog.

The overs are 52-33-8 in Cincinnati Reds games this season, which is the second highest percentage of games going over among all teams in Major League Baseball. If the over/under drops back down to 9 runs before the first pitch I may make a play on the over, but at the moment 9.5 runs is not a number that I am as comfortable with. In my crystal ball I would predict a 5-4 Braves win.

Stay tuned and good luck!

Currently the Cleveland Indians are +112 underdogs to Toronto. How often do you get to take a team on a 13 game winning streak as an underdog? With those odds you would expect a decisive advantage for Toronto on the mound, but this is not the case.

Marcus Stroman has allowed four earned runs or more in five of his last six starts, his overall earned run average during this span is 8.44. Stroman has a 5.90 earned run average in eight home starts this season and a 5.27 earned run average in the nine day games he has started. As a team Toronto has dropped seven of their past 11 games.

Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin is 5-0 with a 2.76 earned run average on the road this season. Current Blue Jays have a career .214 batting average against Tomlin.

Cleveland is 9-6 against the American League East on the season. Toronto is 5-9 against the American League Central.

Maybe Friday will be the afternoon that the Indians amazing streak finally comes to an end. But as hot as the Indians are right now, I don’t see taking the Blue Jays as favorites as the right play.

Here is a chance to pick an underdog that is on fire who is also coming in with the starting pitching advantage. Take Cleveland as the money line +112 underdog here.