Thanksgiving Picks

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Pick

Calvin Johnson,  Cedric Griffin, Benny SappGame time: Thursday 11/24,12:30 PM

Lions have won 4 our of last 5 games. Vikings have dropped 4 out of last 5 games overall and against the spread. The Lions have won their last 4 home games against the spread.

Lions won earlier this season at Minnesota 22-16. Lions are 11-4-1 against the spread. in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Minnesota ranks last in NFL in total offense

My PICK: Detroit Lions (-2.5)

 

LSU vs Texas A&M Pick

Game time: Thursday 11/24, 7:30 PMlsu-texas-am

I expect a low scoring game.

Under is 7-1-2 in LSU last 10 games overall.

Under is 15-5-1 in Aggies last 21 games overall.

Under is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games in November.
Under is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 games in November.

Under is 16-5-1 in Tigers last 22 conference games.

 MY PICK: Under (+48.0) 

 
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Early Season NBA Handicapping Results Nov. 13, 2016

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Clippers cruised to an easy -5 cover on Nov. 12. A 10 unit winner for us.

There’s no such thing as a sure thing, but the truth is overall I win more than I lose when it comes to sports handicapping. There are some bad streaks and bad days that arise, but in the end my bankroll is growing, and I’d like to help you do the same.

The NBA season is young and so far from Oct. 25-Nov.13 I have made 22 wagers on the NBA. My record so far is 15-7.  $100 a unit bettors have won $4,450 and just a $10 bettors have won $445.

Things won’t be perfect, but I’d like to help you win money.  Please follow me on twitter and Facebook at GetSportsStrong.

Documented results and packages are available at:

https://www.sportswatchmonitor.com/handicapper/profile/get%20sports%20strong  and  http://cappedin.com/Betsportsstrong

With packages starting as low as $19.99 for your first two weeks the risk is well worth the reward.

Below are the NBA plays I have made this season.

Oct. 25-Nov. 13, 2016 NBA Handicapping Results (15-7)

Date Game Pick Rating Result
11/12/2016
8:05 PM
119 LA Clippers
105 Minnesota
-5 (-110)
10
Win
11/12/2016
7:05 PM
126 LA Lakers
99 New Orleans
100
10
Win
11/10/2016
10:45 PM
101 LA Lakers
91 Sacramento
208.5 ov -110
5
Loss
11/10/2016
9:05 PM
125 Golden State
101 Denver
-5.5 (-110)
5
Win
11/8/2016
10:35 PM
109 Dallas
97 LA Lakers
-4.5 (-105)
5
Loss
11/7/2016
7:10 PM
114 Houston
106 Washington
+2 (-109)
5
Win
11/5/2016
7:40 PM
97 Houston
112 Atlanta
-150
5
Win
11/5/2016
7:40 PM
97 Houston
112 Atlanta
215.5 un -110
5
Win
11/5/2016
7:40 PM
97 Houston
112 Atlanta
-3 (-104)
5
Win
11/5/2016
7:05 PM
86 Denver
103 Detroit
-195
5
Win
11/5/2016
7:05 PM
102 Cleveland
101 Philadelphia
207.5 un -110
5
Win
11/4/2016
8:35 PM
105 Portland
95 Dallas
205.5 ov -110
5
Loss
11/3/2016
10:50 PM
96 Oklahoma City
122 Golden State
+11.5 (-110)
5
Loss
11/3/2016
8:15 PM
122 Boston
128 Cleveland
+10.5 (-110)
5
Win
11/2/2016
7:40 PM
118 Houston
99 New York
+1 (-105)
5
Win
11/2/2016
7:40 PM
101 Detroit
109 Brooklyn
-170
5
Loss
11/2/2016
7:40 PM
118 Houston
99 New York
217.5 un -110
5
Win
11/1/2016
10:05 PM
127 Golden State
104 Portland
+5.5 (-115)
5
Loss
11/1/2016
7:40 PM
89 New York
102 Detroit
-4 (-108)
5
Win
10/28/2016
8:35 PM
106 Houston
98 Dallas
219 ov -110
5
Loss
10/26/2016
8:05 PM
98 Minnesota
102 Memphis
199 ov -110
5
Win
10/25/2016
7:30 PM
88 New York
117 Cleveland
206.5 un -110
6
Win

5 Free College Football Picks (Nov. 12, 2016)

Here’s a quick rundown on five of my favorite college football plays for Saturday Nov. 12

Rutgers (+14.5) at Michigan State

Michigan State being a 14.5 point favorite here seems to be more based on tradition than based upon this seasons performance.

Michigan State is only 2-7 against the spread this season. Even worse, the Spartans are 0-7 as a favorite against the spread. Last season the Big Ten champion and college football playoff qualifier Spartans only won this game by 7.

 

Rutgers is not a good team, however Rutgers lost by only six as a 13.5 point underdog to Indiana, and lost by only two points as an 18 point road underdog to Minnesota the week prior.

I see Rutgers +14.5 keeping this game closer than 2 TDs.

Prediction: Michigan State 31 Rutgers 27

2. Mississippi St (+29) at Alabama

The number one team in the country is expect to roll over Mississippi State by more than 4 touchdowns. Alabama comes in at 7-2 ATS this season, but the 29 points is the most that Alabama has been favored by since they failed to cover as a 37.5 point favorite against Kentucky on Oct. 1.

Alabama is coming off of a physical 10-0 win at LSU and the Under is 14-2-1 in the last 17 meetings between Alabama and Mississippi State. A 29 point spread is high for two teams that like to run the ball as much as these teams and Alabama is 3-10 against the spread in the last 13 games of this series when Mississippi State scores at least two touchdowns.

Roll Tide, but I predict the Mississippi State +29 competes and covers.

Prediction: Alabama 34 Mississippi State 14

3. Wake Forest (+35) at Louisville

Something has to give here, as the Louisville Cardinal lead the nation averaging 50.2 points per game host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons who are averaging an ACC best 18.1 point per game. The Louisville defense however is not far behind allowing only 21.2 points per game. Wake Forest however has struggled offensively ranking 13th out of 14th ACC teams in scoring.

Louisville should win easily, but Wake Forest is a solid team overall and 35 points is a huge margin here. Last season Louisville defeated Wake Forest 20-19 as a 11 point favorite.

Louisville is only 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Wake Forest on the other hand is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 road games against a winning team.

I respect the defense of Wake Forest +35 enough to pick them to cover.

Prediction Louisville 38 Wake Forest 13

4. South Florida at Memphis OVER (+73.5)

Two high powered offenses here, USF averages 43.8 points per game and Memphis averages 38.9. I expect a shootout in a highly competitive game.

Prediction South Florida 45 Memphis 42

5. USC at Washington (-7.5)

Washington is 15-2 against the spread in their last 17 games as a favorite of between 3.5 to 10 points.

USC is 0-7 against the spread in their last 7 games as an underdog.

Washington 20-9 against the spread in their last 29 games as a home favorite.
USC is 8-21 against the spread in their last 29 road games

Overall Washington is just better and eyeing a conference championship and beyond. I like Washington here to cover -7.5

Prediction Washington 41 USC 23

If you like my picks check out my Twitter and Facebook pages at GetSportsStrong. Good luck!

 

Tuesday Nov. 8 MAC Picks

The Election isn’t the only thing to bet on Tuesday. Two Mid-American Conference match-ups kickoff the week of college football tonight for fans looking for a break from the election.

Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4, 2-3) at Ball State Cardinals (4-5, 1-4)

The Ball State Cardinals face a difficult challenge in needing to win two out of their last three games to become bowl eligible. Ball State’s last bowl appearance was in the Go Daddy Bowl concluding the 2013 season. The Cardinals can start by defending their own turf in their home finale. The Cardinals are 0-3 in conference home games this season.

 

Eastern Michigan needs one more win to become bowl eligible although one more win alone may not be enough. The Eagles have not played in a bowl game in since 1987 and have dropped five straight in the series against Ball State.

Eastern Michigan is 5-1 against the spread in their last six conference games. Eastern Michigan has also won its last five games as an underdog against the spread and has covered in four straight road games.

While the over is just 3-6 in Eagles’ games this season, the over is 7-1 in their last eight games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Ball State is currently a one point home favorite. Ball State is 1-7 against the spread in their last eight conference games, 1-9 against the spread in their last 10 games as a home favorite, and 0-6 against the spread in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record.

Despite both teams defensive struggles this season, both Ball State and Eastern Michigan are just 3-6 against the over this season.

I am going with Eastern Michigan +1 and predicting Eastern Michigan 34 Ball State 31.

Western Michigan Broncos (9-0, 5-0) at Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6, 2-3) 

This game opened up at Western Michigan -18 and I applaud you if you locked in at that number. Kent State has announced the suspension of star senior safety Nate Holley indefinitely. Holler leads Kent State with 12.3 tackles per game.

Western Michigan is 25-9 against the spread in their last 34 games overall, and 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games as a favorite. Kent State is 2-8 against the spread in last 10 games against a team with a winning record.

Kent State should have a hard time scoring against the Broncos. The Golden Flashes rank dead last (128th) in the NCAA averaging just 308 yards per game. Kent does however rank 23rd in total defense nationally which is makes them second in the MAC allowing 344 yards per game.

Western Michigan ranks 12th in the nation in total offense which makes them second in MAC (507 ypg). Western Michigan ranks first in the conference in scoring defense and fourth in the conference in total defense allowing 369 yards per game.

This one could get ugly. My pick is Western Michigan -21. Western Michigan 38 Kent State 13.

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