After the first two official days on the 2017 season, we are off to a bit of rough start. However, every team and every handicapper will likely run into at least an 1-4 stretch at some point this season. We went 1-2 yesterday, however I am not bragging about the win, which was a -304 moneyline play on the Dodgers. -304 is not the type of value I usually look for or make plays on, however yesterday it was too good to pass on. Here are the results so far this season:
April 2, 2017: 0-2 (MLB Pot -$1,000)
April 3, 2017: 1-2 (MLB Pot -$-835.53)
Game 1- $500.00 Atlanta Braves moneyline (+178.0)
Result: LOSS Mets 6 Braves 0
Game 2- $500.00 Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline (-304.0)
Result: WIN Dodgers 14 Padres 3
Game 3- $500.00 Texas Rangers moneyline (+109.0)
Result: LOSS Indians 8 Rangers 5
Total season record (1-4 MLB Pot -$1,835.53)
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Free picks for April 4, 2017
Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers
(Indians: Carrasco) (Rangers: Perez) 8:05 pm EST
We took the Rangers yesterday, who blew a 5-1 to Cleveland lead and lost 8-5. Today as a +146 underdog we are taking the Rangers Moneyline again and OVER 9 runs.
Indians starter Carlos Carrasco is coming back from injury and posted a 10.80 ERA with his opponents hitting .397 BA against him this spring. I expect Carrasco to eventually get back into form from last season, but as a -146 favorite, I think he is a big risk tonight.
Rangers starter Martin Perez was 8-3 with a 3.24 ERA at home last season. But Perez did allow six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings at home to Cleveland last year.
Going with the +146 value for the Rangers and expecting a high scoring game.
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Continue reading “MLB Free Pick: Cleveland at Texas April 4”
Atlanta Bravers starter Julio Teheran is 7-3 in 14 career starts against the Mets with an ERA of 2.02 and a 0.989 Whip. Last season he was 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA against the Mets. Current Mets hitters have a .195 career average against Teheran. The Braves as a team are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
