NFL Week 13 Free Pick

The Cleveland Browns 0-11 and Los Angeles Chargers 5-6 will face each other Sunday in a rematch from last season. Currently both teams are headed in opposite directions when it comes to momentum. The Browns have been historically terrible, with a 1-29 record in their 30 games overall. While the Chargers have now gone 5-2 over their last seven games, after a 0-4 start, and are very much alive in the AFC West playoff picture. However, the Charges are the only team to lose to the Browns since Dec. 13, 2015. The Chargers were defeated by the Browns 20-17, in Cleveland on week 16 last season.

 

The Browns will look for a spark with the freakishly talented wide receiver Josh Gordon expected to return. What is unexpected is how effective Gordon will be. Gordon has not played in at regular season game since Dec. 21, 2014, still the Chargers will definitely need to know where he is on the field at all times.

Currently the Chargers are 14 point favorites. I am staying away from the spread here. Although 14 points is high, you will not catch me advising anyone to use their money to bet on the Browns.

Cleveland has been terrible both straight up and against the spread all the way around. Cleveland is 6-20-1 over their last 27 games against the AFC and 5-15-1 against the spread in their last 21 road games. This season the Browns are 2-9 against the spread, worst in the NFL.

I do not expect the Chargers to take the Browns lightly at all, who wants to be the only team to lose to the Browns twice over the last 31 games the Browns have played?

My recommended play here is the OVER. If you like the Chargers against the spread, then you have to lean towards the over, unless you think Cleveland scores lest than 14 points. Even if you feel like betting on the Browns, which I don’t recommend, look at the over as well.

The over is 5-1 in Browns games away from Cleveland this season. This includes the 4-1 over/under record in true road games, plus the neutral field game in London that went over as well. Seeing that the Over is 0-5 in Browns home games this season, this team has clearly been a team to bet the over on when on the road. The only Cleveland road game that went under this season was week two, when the Browns fell to the Ravens 24-10, on their first road test of the season. Since then the Browns have allowed at least 30 points in their last five games away from Cleveland.

The Chargers rank fifth in the NFL in positive turnover margin while the Browns rank dead last. The Chargers have a lot to play for here and due to losing to the Browns last season, expect Los Angeles to come out even more motivated. I expect over 30 points from the Chargers here. On the other side, Browns quarter back Deshone Kizer has started to play better as of late, and the Browns should be good for at least 14 points. I predict Chargers 34 Browns 20 , however I am only playing the over/under, not the point spread.

Get Sports Strong Pick: OVER 42.5

Good luck!

 

(Get Sports Strong 2017 NFL Record on NFL Picks 22-18)

 

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2017 SEC and MAC Championship Free Picks

We were 2-2-1 last week on our college football picks. On the season so far we have a 42-36 record not including Money Line Cup Cakes or Parlays.

Click on the video below for two free picks.

 

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(Oklahoma City Thunder 4-5) at (Sacramento Kings 1-8) Free NBA Pick

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(Oklahoma City Thunder 4-5) at (Sacramento Kings 1-8)

Oklahoma City will head into Sacramento Thursday night hoping to improve their record to .500 and continue to keep improving their overall team chemistry. The Kings good be just want the Thunder need to get going in the right direction and end their two game losing streak.

The Kings are 0-3 at home this season. Atlanta is the only other winless home team in the NBA this season. After covering in the first team games of the season, the Kings have gone 0-6-1 against the spread in their last seven games. The Kings last game against the Pistons was a nine point loss that ended in a PUSH on a late Zach Randolph three point shot.

When the Thunder have won this season, they’ve won big. All four of the Thunder’s wins this season have been by at least 18 points. Oklahoma City is also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Oklahoma City is also 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games as a road favorite of between 5 and 10.5 points.

The Kings are a young team looking for an identity. Their leading scorer is currently De’Aaron who is averaging 12.7 only points per game.

Oklahoma City has dropped their last two games against Boston and Portland , and should be focused to get back on track. I expect the Thunder to win easy.

Get Sports Strong Pick: Oklahoma City -10

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Bowling Green at Buffalo Prediction

The Bowling Green Falcons have not been good this season, however 11 points is way too many to expect Buffalo to cover by. These programs have meet the last 12 season and 14 times all time. Buffalo has only beaten Bowling Green 3 times all-time with the biggest margin of victory being 6 points in 2008.

jordan-hopgood-khalil-mack-ncaa-football-bowling-green-buffalo
Bowling Green has won 6 straight against Buffalo overall and 6 straight at Buffalo.

As for this season BGSU is only 2-7 against the spread, but those two wins came in their only two conference road games thus far. Buffalo is 6-3 against the spread. However, overall Bowling Green is 2-3 in the MAC and Buffalo is 1-4. These teams have played four common opponents, BGSU is 2-2 S/U against those opponents and Buffalo is 1-3. Both teams defeated Kent State. Buffalo defeated Kent 27-13, Bowling Green defeated Kent 44-16 last week.

Look neither team is good, but I am taking the Bowling Falcons + 11 here

 

http://cappedsports.com/feed/1086989/bowling-green-vs-buffalo-u-on-11-07-2017

 

 

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Michigan State Spartans at Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction

(Michigan State Spartans 7-2, 5-1) at (Ohio State Buckeyes 7-2, 5-1)

NCAA Football: Ohio State at Michigan State

Yes I expect Ohio State to be pissed after losing at Iowa 55-24, but this line is just disrespectful to the Spartans. The last six meetings in this rivalry have been decided by 12 points or less.  Last season Ohio State came into this game as a 20.5 favorite and only won 17-16.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are 1-6  in their last seven games against teams with a winning record.  The Buckeyes are also 1-5 against the spread in their last six games as a home favorite.

The Michigan State Spartans are 10-3-1 against the spread in their last 14 games as a road underdog.

Our Pick: Michigan State +16

 

Wake Forest at Notre Dame Prediction

After a 17-20 start on the college football season a 17-7 run, including a Bowling Green -2.5 win at Kent State has pushed our record to 34-27 on the season.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons 5-3 at #3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7-1

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish find themselves ranked third in the first set of the College Football Playoff rankings. With four games remaining against teams with winning records, the Irish seem to be in control of their own destiny for a playoff spot.

Notre Dame has been led by it’s rushing game, averaging 318 yards a game on the ground, good for number sixth in the nation. The Wake Forest defense is ranked 88th in the country at stopping the run allowing just under 184 yards per game.

Notre Dame is 3-0 overall and against the spread against ACC teams this season, defeating Boston College, North Carolina and North Carolina State by 29, 23 and 21 points respectively.
In all games this season Notre Dame is 7-1 against the spread, with their only loss coming against Georgia in a 20-19 home defeat.

Wake Forest is 3-1 against the spread as an underdog this season and 4-3 ATS overall. Wake Forest is also an impressive 5-1 in their last six games as a double digit road underdog. The Demon Deacons did however drop their last two road games. On October they lost at Georgia Tech 38-24 as a three point underdog, and 28-14 at Clemson as 21 point underdog.

You can make a case for Wake Forest, but this season feels different for Notre Dame. Each of Notre Dame’s wins this season has come by at least 20 points. I like the Fighting Irish to cover.

My Pick: NOTRE DAME -13

Notre Dame 37 Wake Forest 20

 

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