NBA Free Vegas Plays-Tuesday Jan. 30

Here are two personal plays that I recommend for tonight’s NBA Action.

Cleveland Cavaliers (29-19) at Detroit Pistons (22-26)

Tuesday, January 30, 2018  8:00 PM ET
Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 point favorites, Over/Under 218.5 points

The Cleveland Cavaliers numbers against the spread have not been pretty on the road.  The Cavs will head into this game with a dismal 1-11 record against the spread in their last 12 road games.


At -2, this is pretty close to a pick’em.  Despite the Cavs recent bad stretch, the Cavs have now won two straight games against the spread, including a 121-104 home win against the Pistons two nights ago.
A lot has changed in less than 24 hours since that game. The Pistons have now acquired Blake Griffin in a trade that sent their two leading scorers Tobias Harris and Avery Bradley to the Clippers.

The Pistons have lost eight straight games overall and have a 1-7 record against the spread during the current losing streak. This will be the third match-up between these teams this season with Cleveland winning 116-88 at Detroit on Nov. 20, and 121-104 in Cleveland this past Sunday, Jan. 28.

With the recent trade, I expect the Pistons to sell more tickers with Blake Griffin, but necessarily become a better team. As for just tonight, the Cleveland Cavaliers are the better team. Then once you add in the extra distractions and team chemistry issues, I definitely don’t expect the Pistons to beat a Cavs team with a lot to prove.

Get Sports Strong Pick: Cleveland -2 

Denver Nuggets (26-24) at San Antonio Spurs (33-19)

Tuesday, January 30, 2018  8:30 PM ET
Line: San Antonio Spurs -7 point favorites, Over/Under 202.5 points 

The Spurs will be hosting the Nuggets for the second time this season. On January 13th the Spurs defeated the Nuggets 112-80 in San Antonio.

The Nuggets are 2-8-2 against the spread in their last 12 games.

Embed from Getty Images
The Spurs are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine home games. Overall in this series, the Spurs are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against the Nuggets.

Get Sports Strong Pick: San Antonio -7

 

Good luck everyone!

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Super Bowl 52 Recommended Play

Philadelphia Eagles 15-3 vs New England Patriots 15-3 Feb 4, 2018 6:30 PM

The Super Bowl is always the most watched American Football game nationwide. In additional to the game there is also a long list of prop bets available to wager on.

Although the Super Bowl it most gambled on single sporting event in the world, it is not easiest game to wager on. With all eyes being on this one game for one day, the lines are usually very sharp.  However, I believe I have a winner for you.

https://anchor.fm/e/2468adc?at=2411411

https://anchor.fm/e/2468adc?at=2411411

Super Bowl Lines:

New England Patriots -5

Over/Under: 48

I am using a six point teaser to get these lines where I am more comfortable

Get Sports Strong Personal Play: Part 1: Philadelphia Eagles +11.0 (Teased 6.0 points)

The New England Patriots will be making their 8th Super Bowl appearance of the Bellhick-Brady era. The Patriots are 5-2 straight up in the 7 previous super bowls. Despite winning five super bowls, the Patriots biggest margin of victory was six points, in last seasons 34-28 win over Atlanta.
The Patriots have won three super bowls by three points and one super bowl by four points, and lost the other two.

The Eagles have only lost three games all season. Only one of those loses was by double digits. Even if the Eagles lose, I find it highly unlikely that Patriots defeat them by 11 points of more.

Part 2: Over 42 (Teased 6.0 points)

As for the over/under for the Eagles is 9-9 this season, but the over is 13-5 in games with a six point teaser being applied to the total.

The over/under is 8-10 in Patriots games this season and 11-7 in games with a six point teaser applied to the total.

There have been at least 45 points scored in 11 out of the last 15 super bowls.

Official Get Sports Strong Play: Teaser (6.0) Philadelphia Eagles +11.0 and Over 42 points

Good luck everyone!!!

View this game

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Do the Cleveland Browns need to draft a QB in the top 4?

Joe Thomas had some interesting comments for ESPN about whether or not the Browns should draft a quarterback in the first round. Do you agree or disagree? Take a quick listen and check out my thoughts on this topic.

BLEED BROWN N’ ORANGE PODCAST EPISODE #1
“Cleveland Browns QB Options”

https://anchor.fm/getsportsstrong/episodes/152c500

josh-rosen-ucla-bruins-college-football-top-100-players
Josh Rosen (pictured) has thrown 59 TD passes and 26 INT in his career at UCLA

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Baker Mayfield went from walk-on to Heisman trophy winner, but some scouts think he could be the next Johnny Manziel

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Jan. 21 AFC/NFC Championship Predictions

After the first two rounds I am 1-3 on over/under and against the spread picks in this seasons NFL playoffs, but 2-0 on teasers. This week I am making predictions for both games, although I am not personally recommending playing game either game against the spread or over/under straight up.

Now with news about Tom Brady being questionable for Sunday, there is a lot of uncertainty around what to expect in the AFC Championship. Even though I am not personally making wagers on either game individually, for fun I am giving my predictions.
My personal recommendation is a two team +7 parlay. Hopefully our record will move to 3-0 on teasers in this NFL postseason.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars (12-6) at New England Patriots (14-3)  3:05pm EST

Lines: New England -8  O/U 45

Before Tom Brady was listed as questionable I had the Patriots covering here. Since 2014 the Patriots are 8-1 straight up in their last nine playoff games. The Patriots are also 5-0 against the spread in their last five playoff games overall.

Brady’s status could all be smoke and mirrors, nevertheless it is enough for me to stay away from the Patriots covering by more than a touchdown at the moment.

Looking at the total here, the under is 5-2 in the Patriots last seven AFC Championship games. The under is also 7-3 in Jaguars last ten games as a road underdog between 3.5 and 10 points.

I recommend teasing this +7 points and taking the under 52 points.

Get Sports Strong Prediction: New England 24 Jacksonsville 20 

Minnesota Vikings (14-3) at Philadephia Eagles  (14-3) 6:40pm EST

Lines: Minnesota -3.5  O/U 39

I expect a close low scoring game here. The under is 3-1 in the Eagles games since Nick Foles took over for the injured Carson Wentz.  The under is also 10-2 in the Viking’s last 12 road games against teams with a winning home record.

I am using this my second part of a team two teaser UNDER 46 points.

Get Sports Strong Prediction: Minnesota 20 Philadephia 17

Recommendation: Two Teaser +7 Jacksonsville at New England UNDER 52 points and Vikings at Eagles UNDER 46 points)

 

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NFC Divisional Playoffs Picks and College Football Bowl Results

NFC Divisional Playoff Free Picks and my thoughts on the Cleveland Browns winless season parade.

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College Football Final Bowl Results

Date Game Pick Rating Result
1/8/2018
8:20 PM
26 Alabama
23 Georgia
-172
5
Win
1/1/2018
5:10 PM
54 Georgia
48 Oklahoma
125
5
Loss
1/1/2018
5:10 PM
54 Georgia
48 Oklahoma
61 un -110
5
Loss
1/1/2018
1:00 PM
17 LSU
21 Notre Dame
+3 (102)
5
Win
12/30/2017
12:30 PM
21 Iowa State
20 Memphis
+4 (-110)
8
Win
12/29/2017
1:00 PM
52 Texas A&M
55 Wake Forest
-150
6
Win
12/26/2017
9:00 PM
35 Kansas State
17 UCLA
-2.5 (-110)
8
Win
12/26/2017
5:20 PM
14 No Illinois
36 Duke
+6 (-110)
8
Loss
12/26/2017
1:30 PM
30 Utah
14 West Virginia
+7 (-110)
8
Loss
12/23/2017
7:00 PM
34 Appalachian St
0 Toledo
+8 (-110)
8
Win
12/23/2017
7:00 PM
34 Appalachian St
0 Toledo
61 ov -110
8
Loss
12/23/2017
12:00 PM
34 Texas Tech
38 South Florida
66 ov -110
8
Win
12/22/2017
4:05 PM
14 Central Michigan
37 Wyoming
+3 (-110)
8
Loss
12/21/2017
8:00 PM
28 Temple
3 Florida Intl
55.5 ov -110
8
Loss
12/16/2017
3:35 PM
28 Oregon
38 Boise State
+7.5 (-110)
8
Win
12/16/2017
3:35 PM
28 Oregon
38 Boise State
61 ov -110
8
Win
12/16/2017
2:35 PM
27 Georgia State
17 Western Kentucky
-5 (-106)
8
Loss
12/16/2017
1:00 PM
30 North Texas
50 Troy
-5.5 (-106)
8
Win
12/16/2017
12:00 PM
21 N. Carolina A&T
14 Grambling
+9.5 (-110)
8
Win

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CFB NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Quick Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) vs Georgia Bulldogs (13-1)

Not going into a long drawn out write up here, but I am making my prediction for the record.  We went 50-42 during the College Football Season on plays against the spread and against the over/under. We are also 10-8 so far for the bowl season, which gives us a 60-50 record for the College Football Season overall.  Here is my final prediction of the season.

My prediction:

Alabama 20 Georgia 17

My Personal 5 UNIT Play Alabama Moneyline -172

 

2017 Season Bowl Results 10-8  (+12.12 UNITS PROFIT)

1/1/2018
5:10 PM
54 Georgia
48 Oklahoma
125
5 units
Loss
1/1/2018
5:10 PM
54 Georgia
48 Oklahoma
61 un -110
5 units
Loss
1/1/2018
1:00 PM
17 LSU
21 Notre Dame
+3 (102)
5 units
Win
12/30/2017
12:30 PM
21 Iowa State
20 Memphis
+4 (-110)
8 units
Win
12/29/2017
1:00 PM
52 Texas A&M
55 Wake Forest
-150
6 units
Win
12/26/2017
9:00 PM
35 Kansas State
17 UCLA
-2.5 (-110)
8 units
Win
12/26/2017
5:20 PM
14 No Illinois
36 Duke
+6 (-110)
8 units
Loss
12/26/2017
1:30 PM
30 Utah
14 West Virginia
+7 (-110)
8 units
Loss
12/23/2017
7:00 PM
34 Appalachian St
0 Toledo
+8 (-110)
8 units
Win
12/23/2017
7:00 PM
34 Appalachian St
0 Toledo
61 ov -110
8 units
Loss
12/23/2017
12:00 PM
34 Texas Tech
38 South Florida
66 ov -110
8 units
Win
12/22/2017
4:05 PM
14 Central Michigan
37 Wyoming
+3 (-110)
8 units
Loss
12/21/2017
8:00 PM
28 Temple
3 Florida Intl
55.5 ov -110
8 units
Loss
12/16/2017
3:35 PM
28 Oregon
38 Boise State
+7.5 (-110)
8 units
Win
12/16/2017
3:35 PM
28 Oregon
38 Boise State
61 ov -110
8 units
Win
12/16/2017
2:35 PM
27 Georgia State
17 Western Kentucky
-5 (-106)
8 units
Loss
12/16/2017
1:00 PM
30 North Texas
50 Troy
-5.5 (-106)
8 units
Win
12/16/2017
12:00 PM
21 N. Carolina A&T
14 Grambling
+9.5 (-110)
8 units
Win

NFL Wildcard Picks Saturday Jan. 6

Titans Chiefs FootballTennessee Titans (9-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (10-6)

My Pick: Titans +9

Titans are averaging 20.9 points per game and allowing 22.2 point per game.  The Chiefs are averaging 25.9 points per game and allowing 21.2

Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota has been inconsistent this season but has never thrown a red zone interception in his career.

The Titans are 4-1-1 against the spread this season against teams who finished the season with a winning record. Overall, I think nine points is too many. I like the Titans to cover the +9 spread.

Get Sports Strong Prediction: Chiefs 21 Titans 16

Atlanta Falcons (10-6) at Los Angeles Rams (11-5)

My Pick: OVER 48.5

The Rams led the NFL in averaging just under 30 points per game.  The Falcons are averaging 22.1 points per game. Both teams have been solid defensively during the regular season with the Rams allowing 20.6 points per game and the Falcons allowing 19.7 points per game.

The Over is 5-0 in the Falcons last five playoff games. Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last five road games against a team with a winning home record.

The Over is 10-5 in Rams games this season, including the last five straight.

Get Sports Strong Prediction: Rams 31 Falcons 24

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