MARCH 30 MLB FREE PICK

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds
Projected Starters: Nationals: Max Scherzer vs Reds: Homer Bailey 4:10pm EST

As we approach day two of the MLB season, Washington is the first big favorite that I really feel the need to jump on.

Projected Cincinnati Reds starter Homer Bailey was 0-2 with a 25.41 ERA against the Nationals last season. The Reds lost those games 18-3 and 14-4. Nationals hitters have a career .467 earned run average against Homer Bailey. In his career Bailey is 1-5 when starting against Washington with an ERA of 8.44

The Nationals send Max Schrezer to the mound who pitched six shut out innings against the Reds last season.

My Pick: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Two Units

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March 29 MLB Free Picks

It’s opening day! There are alot of tempting plays, big favorites and big underdogs. We are going to ease in with two small plays.

Here are my picks for MLB Opening Day March 29, 2018

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers  
Projected Starters: Giants: Ty Blach vs Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw  7:05pm EST
My pick: Under (+7.0)  Two Units

The Giants projected starter Ty Blanch made three total starts against the Dodgers last season overall. The Giants were 1-2 in those three games. Ty Blach started against the Dodgers with all three games he started ending in a 2-1 score, including a Dodgers 2-1 win in a Kerhsaw vs Blanch match-up on April 25, 2017.

At Dodger stadium Ty Blanch allowed two earned runs in ten innings against the Dodgers last season on the road in Dodger stadium.

The Dodgers are a big favorite here and are 22-3 overall when they are home favorites of -250 to -330 over the last three years.
Kershaw was 4-1 with a 1.59 last season against the Giants.
In his career Kershaw is 22-9 when starting against San Fransico with an ERA of 1.58.
The Under is 27-11 in the those starts all time for Kershaw against the Giants.

Cleveland Indians at Seattle Mariners
Projected Starters: Indians: Corey Kluber vs Mariners: Felix Hernandez  10:10pm EST
My pick: Under (+7.5)  Two Units
Corey Kluber was 8-2 with a 2.83 earned run average on the road last season, including a start against Seattle where Kluber went seven innings and allowed two unearned runs on the way to a 4-2 Cleveland vicory.  In four career starts against Seattle, Kluber has a 1.50 earned run average against Seattle and the under is 3-1 in those games.
In Felix Hernandez’s career against Cleveland the under is 5-11. Hernandez has a 2.95 earned run average in those games.
Five out of the last six games played by these two teams in Seattle have gone under the total as well.

Good luck and play ball!

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2018 MLB Preview Podcast (The Favorites)

The Major League Baseball season starts tomorrow. Here is a look at Vegas favorites in each division and where I think the value is, even among the heavy favorites.
First, here are the few sure things even if the value isn’t there. Listen or read below!

https://anchor.fm/getsportsstrong/embed/episodes/2018-MLB-Preview-e18evk

Sure Things:

The Cleveland Indians (-550) will win the American League Central. At -550, you have to put $550 on the Tribe to win just $100. Risking so much to win so little is always risky in sports. Whenever you make a bet like this you must understand that there is always the possibility of injury or a team simply under performing. However, this line is +550 for a reason.

Cleveland won the AL central by 17 games in 2017 and 8 games in 2016. Now, the Tigers and Royals, two teams who had their eyes on contending with Cleveland the past several seasons are now both in rebuilding mode. The White should be looking at their sixth straight winning season, leaving only the Twins as a threat to the Indians. Minnesota Twins really surpassed expectations last season winning 85 games, but the Indians are just too deep.

I think Cleveland has the best starting rotation in baseball, definitely top three with no argument. The Indians will win the Central.

The Houston Astros (-550) will win the American League West

At -550, this story is similar to Cleveland’s and a no brainier. The Astros are a complete team, and last season proved to be the most complete team in baseball. In my opinion the Astros have the second best starting rotation in the American League, but certainly should be a top four rotation in all of baseball at least. Offensively, If you watched the playoffs you saw how dangerous this lineup is. Led by AL MVP Jose Altuve, World Series MVP George Springer, to go along with Carlos Correa and Alex Bregman, the Astros are loaded with homegrown star power.

After the Astros, the Angels have a dangerous line up as well, but not to the level of Houston. The Angels also do not have the pitching to compete for the league title.
Seattle, Texas and Oakland all have upside and can look towards the wildcard, but they are not ready to over take Houston. The Astros finished 21 games ahead of the second place Angels in 2017.

Close to a sure thing:

The Washington Nationals (-350) have won their division four out of the last six seasons, including the last two. The story on the Nationals isn’t about the regular season anymore, but what will they do in the postseason. Washington has lost in the National League Division Series in all four of their playoff appearances since 2012.

Should happen, but worthy challengers looking up:

(Chicago Cubs -275) to win National League CentralThe Cubs should win their division again, however at -275, I don’t like the value here. If you are looking to take a chance, I think the Milwaukee Brewers at +500 are an intriguing option and one of my wild card picks for the season. You can also never count out the St. Louis Cardinals.
The Cubs however still have the best and deepest team on paper, but if there is an upset in the standing this season among the heavy favorites, I see this being the most likely.

(Los Angeles Dodgers -175) to win National League West

The National League West might be the most competitive division in baseball, although the AL East can definitely make the argument. The Dodgers won 104 games last season and came with-in a game from winning the World Series.

The Dodgers really did not suffer any significant losses in the off season. There most notable loss was mid-season acquisition Yu Darvish. The -175 for the Dodgers is actually good value, but the Diamondbacks, Giants and Rockies all have a shot at the playoffs this year.

No sure thing here:

New York Yankees -140 to win American League EastThe Yankees were one game away from the World Series last season and added the top power hitter in baseball, Giancarlo Stanton. However the Yankees do have some question marks at the bottom of the order with their corner infielders.
The Yankees, starting rotation is right there with Boston for the third best in the AL after Cleveland and Houston.

The Red Sox +130 are predicted to come in second, but the roster is not far behind. The Red Sox however have some questions in their starting rotation after Chris Sale. It’s hard to know what Boston can expect from the rest of the rotation with David Price, Rick Procello and Hector Velazquez.

So after looking at the favorites here is my four team division winner parlay recommendations for 2018:

Four Team Parlay
American League Central Champion : Cleveland Indians -550
American League West Champion : Houston Astros -550
National League East Champion: Washington Nationals -350
National League West Champion: Los Angeles Dodgers -175

They all maybe serious favorites, but combined you have +182 value. Think of it as an investment to cash in come October.

Good luck and play ball!

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Get Sports Strong Podcast #5- Joe Thomas Retires/Who should the Browns draft and is Geno Auriemma a bully?

Get Sports Strong Podcast #5

We start out the show talking to all the fellow Cleveland Browns fans about Joe Thomas retiring and the upcoming draft.

Next we touch on March Madness and ask, is UConn women’s basketball coach Geno Auriemma a bully?

 

https://anchor.fm/getsportsstrong/embed
 

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For more daily picks and this article please visit our main website for betting tips: http://www.betongetsportsstrong.com<a href="http://https://anchor.fm/getsportsstrong/embed“>Get Sports Strong Podcast #5

2018 National League Predictions

Below is our projected records and order of finish. Next to the projected record are the Bovada odds on each team to win their division. Also listed is the over/win total, and the odds.

NL East Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. Washington Nationals 93-69 -350 Over/Under win total 92.5 (Over -200/Under +160)
  2.  New York Mets 82-80  +450 Over/Under win total 81 (Over- 160 Under +130)
  3. Atlanta Braves 76-86 +1,800 Over/Under win total 74.5 (Over -150 /Under +120)
  4. Philadelphia Phillies 75-87   +1000 Over/Under win total 75.5 (Over -260 /Under +200)
  5. Miami Marlins 60-102 74-88  +10,000 Over/Under win total 64.5 (Over +110 Under -140)

NL East Central Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. Chicago Cubs 91-71   -275 Over/Under win total 94.5 (Over -120/ Under-110
  2.  Milwaukee Brewers 88-74 *Wild Card* +550  Over/Under win total 84.5 (Over- 110/Under -120)
  3. St. Louis Cardinals 83-79 +375 Over/Under win total 85.5 (Over -140 /Under +110_
  4. Pittsburgh Pirates 76-86 +1,000  Over/Under win total 71.5 (Over +135/ Under -165)
  5. Cincinnati Reds  72-90  +4,000 Over/Under win total 73.5 (Over -135 Under +105)

NL West Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers 94-68 -175 Over/Under win total 96.5 (Over +115/Under -145
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks  87-75 *Wild Card* +400 Over/Under win total 85.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
  3. Colorado Rockies   84-78  +650  Over/Under win total 82 (Over -140/Under +110)
  4.  San Francisco Giants 80-82  +600  Over/Under win total 77.5 (Over- -115/Under -115
  5.  San Diego Padres 70-92 +2500 Over/Under win total 69.5 (Over -215/Under +175

National League Champion: Washington National +275

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For more daily picks and this article please visit our main website for betting tips: http://www.betongetsportsstrong.com

2018 American League Predictions

AL East  Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. New York Yankees  94-68  -145  Over/Under win total 94.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
  2.  Boston Red Sox  *Wild Card* 91-71  +145  Over/Under win total 91.5 (Over- 155/Under +125)
  3. Toronto Blue Jays  83-79 +850  Over/Under win total 81 (Over -115/Under -115)
  4. Baltimore Orioles  76-86 +5000  Over/Under win total 73 (Over +120/Under -150)
  5. Tampa Bay Rays  74-88  +3300 Over/Under win total 77.5 (Over -+160/Under -200)

AL Central Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. Cleveland Indians  96-66  -650  Over/Under win total 94.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
  2. Minnesota Twins  80-82  +350  Over/Under win total 82. 5 (Over- 150/Under +120)
  3. Detroit Tigers 74-88 +5000 Over/Under win total 68.5 (Over +110 /Under -140)
  4. Kansas City Royals 69-93  +5000  Over/Under win total 71.5 (Over +135/ Under -165)
  5. Chicago White Sox  66-96 +3300 Over/Under win total  68 (Over -215/ Under +175)

AL West Predicted Order of Finish along with Vegas odds to win the division

  1. Houston Astros 98-64 96-66  -500 Over/Under win total 96.5 (Over -135 Under+105)
  2.  Seattle Mariners *Wild Card* 84-78 +900  Over/Under win total 81.5 (Over- 135 /Under +105)
  3. Los Angeles Angels   81-81 +500  Over/Under win total 84.5 (Over -145 /Under +115)
  4. Texas Rangers  78-84 +3000 Over/Under win total 77.5 (Over +125/ Under -155)
  5.  Oakland Athletics 73-89 +4000 Over/Under win total 74.5 (Over -140/ Under+110)

 

American League Champion: Houston Astros +275