MONDAY APRIL 30 MLB FREE PICK

 

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SATURDAY APRIL 28 MLB FREE PICK

We have had much better days than our picks on Friday April 27th.

The New York Yankees -1.5, in hindsight may have been too aggressive, but I feel it was still a good selection based on value. The Yankees won 4-3 in extra innings, but failed to win by more than one run, which gave us a loss.

The “Get Strong Select Play” last night was the Oakland A’s at Houston Astros UNDER 8.5 or UNDER 9 runs. Those who made the selection at 9 earned a push, in the 8-1 win, but since I originally set the pick at UNDER 8.5, and personally locked in at 8.5 it was another loss. If you would have told me before the game that the Astros would only score one run, I would have told you we would have covered the UNDER easy. But Dallas Keuchel tied his career high giving up three home runs….and that’s baseball.

Despite the two losses we are still 24-15 on the season.

Here is the free play for today.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox 4:05 pm EST

Projected Starters: Rays: Yonny Chirinos (1-2 2.92 ERA) Red Sox: David Price (2-2, 2.93 ERA)

David Price has a 2.93 ERA so far on the season, which includes two very strong starts against the Rays.  In his starts against Tampa Bay this season, Price has pitched a total of 14 innings allowing seven hits and zero runs.

Rays projected stater Yonny Chirinos has faced the Red Sox twice this season, once as a starter and once in relief.  Chirinos has not allowed a run in the nine innings  he has pitched against the Red Sox.

The Under is 5-3 in the Red Sox versus Rays games so far this season. I think the total of 9 is too high.

 

My pick: UNDER 9 Runs -108 (Four Units)

 

We maybe playing at least one more MLB Game today as well, still waiting to see where some lines and totals end up.

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FRIDAY APRIL 27 MLB FREE PICK

Currently we are 24-13 on the MLB Season. We did not make any MLB picks for Thursday April 26. We have a 13-3 record in our last 16 MLB Picks.

I have two picks for today. One free pick, and another select pick available for purchase. The select pick is only $20, however if you purchase the on Friday April 27 before 6:30pm EST/ 3:30 PST you will receive the pick along with all my select picks for 30 days.

Here is my free pick for Friday April 27.

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels 10pm EST
Projected Starters: Yankees: Severino (4-1, 2.32 ERA) vs Angels: Heaney (0-1, 9.64 ERA)

Tonight’s Angels projected starter Andrew Heaney, has a career 4.76 earned run average over 31 starts and 33 appearances. In two starts this season, Heaney is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA. The two starts Heaney has made this season were against the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals, who are ranked 29th and 30th in total runs scored in all of Major League Baseballrrespectively

Despite having a 16-9 overall record the Los Angeles Angels are only 5-7 at home on the season. All seven of the Angels home losses have been by at least two runs or more.

Luis Severino is projected to make the start for the Yankees, who are rolling as a team with six straight wins. Severino has allowed two runs or less in four of his five starts this season. The only start were Severino allowed more than two runs this season was against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.

The Yankees have won 15 games so far this season, with 13 of those wins coming by at least two runs. I expect the Yankees to win by more than one run here.

My pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (FOUR Units)

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Wednesday April 25 FREE PICKS

The Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates game was rained out yesterday and we did not make any other MLB pick last night.

We may be making a few more plays today. These plays will be sent to our subscribers and also posted on Facebook and Twitter, so be sure to follow.

Here is our two free pick for Wednesday April 25.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates GAME 1 4:05pm EST

Projected Starters: Tigers: Zimmerman (1-0, 7.71 ERA) at Pirates: Taillon  (2-1, 2.86 ERA)

The OVER is 3-1 in Zimmerman’s four starts this season. The one UNDER came  in a game against Cleveland where Zimmerman had to leave the game in the first inning after being hit in the face by a line drive.

On the season Zimmerman is 1-0 but has a 7.71 earned run average. He allowed four runs and six hits over six innings against Pittsburgh on opening day in a game that ended 13-10.

The Pirates projected to go with starter starter Jameson Taillon today against Zimmerman. Yesterday we liked the OVER 8.5 when Chad Kuhl was going to face Zimmerman. Even though runs should be harder to come by off of Taillon, the Pittsburgh bullpen has a 5.23 ERA this season. The total for this game is also only 7.5.

The Detroit bullpen has a 4.42 ERA this season

My pick: OVER 7.5 Runs  FOUR UNITS

 

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers 7:35pm EST

Projected Starters: Marlins: Richards (0-2, 6,16 ERA) at Dodgers: Kershaw (1-3, 2.45 ERA)

I hate to go with such a predictable play here. However, I have not yet bet on Kershaw yet this season, and with his 1-3 record I’m glad I haven’t. However Kershaw losing 3 out of 4 decisions will not continue forever.

The Marlins and Dodgers have split the first two games of this series with both games decided by only one run. I look for the Dodgers to provide more run support today against the rookie, Marlins projected starter Trevor Richards.

My pick: Dodgers -1.5 runs (-144)  THREE UNITS

 

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TUESDAY APRIL 24 FREE MLB PICK

Yesterday we had an awful beat. We saw value in the Twins +186 and Minnesota lost to the New York Yankees 14-1.

This drops our record to 23-12 on the season in Major League baseball, still up 20.76 units on the season.

Here is our play for Tuesday April 24.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates 7:05pm EST

Projected Starters: Tigers: Zimmerman (1-0, 7.71 ERA) at Pirates: Kuhl  (2-1, 4.57 ERA)

The OVER is 3-1 in Zimmerman’s four starts this season. The one UNDER came  in a game against Cleveland where Zimmerman had to leave the game in the first inning after being hit in the face by a line drive.

One the season Zimmerman is 1-0 but has a 7.71 earned run average. He allowed four runs and six hits over six innings against Pittsburgh on opening day in a game that ended 13-10.

Pirates projected starter Chad Kuhl comes in with a 2-1 record and 4.57 earned run average. The OVER is 4-0 when he pitches this season. Kuhl allowed eight hits and four earned runs against Detroit on April 1 this season in a 8-6 Pirates victory.

The Pittsburgh bullpen has a 5.23 ERA this season and the Detroit bullpen has a 4.42 ERA this season

My pick: OVER 8.5 Runs  Four Units

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MONDAY APRIL 23 MLB PICK

Currently we are 23-11 on the MLB Season. We did not make any MLB picks for Sunday April 22. Currently we have a 12-1 record in our last 13 MLB Picks.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees  7pm EST

Projected Starters: Twins: Odorizzi (1-1, 3.38 ERA) vs Yankees: Tanaka (2-2, 6.45 ERA)

The value is definitely here to take a shot with the Twins.

Yankees projected starter Masahiro Tanaka is coming off of two bad starts against Boston and Miami where he allowed a total of 12 earned runs and 15 hits over 10 innings. The Yankees are 0-2 this season when Tanaka has made a start so far this season against an underdog of more than +180.

Yes, Tanka is 4-0 when starting against Minnesota, however Tanka did not face Minnesota at all in 2017.

 

My pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline +186 (Three Units)

 

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Saturday April 21 FREE PICK

On Friday April 20th we picked the Houston Astros 1.5 against the Chicago White Sox. Houston beat the White Sox 10-0. Yes, the -160 was more juice then we usually recommend laying in Major League Baseball, but my confidence in that play so high that I still went with it, and it worked out well.

That Houston Astros win gave us a 10 game winning streak and 22-10 record on the season in MLB up 23.76 units. This means already $23,760 in profit for a $1,000 a unit player$2,376 on the season for an $100 a unit player, or $237 in profit for a ten dollar a unit player, based on my unit recommendations.

I am personally playing today’s free pick for four units. This means at -110 odds, a $1,000 unit bettor would lay $4,400, a $100 unit bettor would lay $440, a $10 a unit bettor would lay $44 and a $1 a unit bettor would lay $4.40.

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays 6:10pm EST

Projected Starters: Twins Gibson (1-0, 3.68 ERA) vs Tampa Bay: Snell (2-1, 2.95 ERA)

I think this total should be set at 8.5 but not 7.5.

While Minnesota project starter Kyle Gibson has pitched well this season, he is 1-4 against Tampa Bay in his career with a 7.05 ERA. The OVER is 5-1 in Gibson’s six career starts against Tampa Bay.

Blake Snell has made two career starts against the Twins. The OVER is 2-0 in those games and Snell has a career 6.75 ERA.

The OVER is 12-7 in Tampa Bay Rays games this season.

My pick: OVER 7.5 Runs -110 (Four Units)

 

We are playing one more MLB Game today as well.

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