Tuesday October 23 NBA FREE PICK

Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans Pick

I think this is a goodAnthony_Davis_Pelicans_2018_AP time to jump on the UNDER. After the Pelicans have combined for 243 points with the Rockets and 278 points against the Kings. The Pelicans are on fire, but this pace can not continue forever.

The Clippers have combined for only 205 points with Denver, 200 with Oklahoma City, and 227 with the Rockets.

The Clippers are currently 24th in points scored and 27th in three point percentage.

The Pelicans are hot offensively, but I expect enough of a cool down here for less than 122 points. On the other side, I don’t see the Clippers surpassing 118 points in regulation.

In order to go over this game would have to be the highest scoring between these two teams in their 22 game history.

Let’s take UNDER this huge number.

MY PICK: UNDER 239

 

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Wednesday Oct. 17 Personal NBA Picks

The 2018-2019 NBA Season is here.  With a full slate of games tonight, I have picks in two games that I like in the NBA tonight.

Game 1: Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors  7:35pm EST

My Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +12  Five Units

Cleveland Cavaliers Moneyline One Unit +837

There are high expectations in Toronto this season, while Cleveland is expected to see a huge drop off and struggle without Lebron James.

Toronto is definitely the better team here, but with a new coach, new superstar and new season I think the 12 point line is high. Expect the Cavaliers to play with some pride in game one and play with something to prove.

I am also making a small Moneyline play on the Cavaliers due to the possible huge return.

 Game 2: Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs  8:35pm EST

My Pick: Spurs -2  Five Units

                Spurs Moneyline  -135 One Unit

The Spurs are 13-1 straight up in their last 14 games against Minnesota.

There are serious chemistry questions in Minnesota right now involving Jimmy Butler.

For the first day of the season, I have to back the Spurs at home here.

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NCAA Thursday Night Football Pick: Georgia Southern at Texas State Prediction Oct. 11, 2018

 

Georgia Southern at Texas State

My Pick Georgia Southern -17  *Five Units

This feels like a blow out to me, I actually had Georgia State -23 in this game.  So why is the line only 17 points?

On paper Georgia Southern is 0-6 against the spread in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record. Georgia Southern is also only 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games against losing teams. Those numbers are particularly bad due to Georgia State finishing 2-10 overall last season.
Despite a terrible 2017, Georgia Southern is a perfect 5-0 against the spread this season.  Straight up the Eagles are 4-0 at home and 0-1 on the road, but that road defeat was 38-7 to Clemson in a game that the Eagles trailed 24-7 early in the fourth quarter. Georgia State is also 4-1 against the spread in their last five conference games overall dating back to last season.

Texas State is 1-4 on the season straight up, with the win coming over Texas Southern of the SWAC 36-20.

Against the spread the Texas State Bobcats are 1-3-1 this season overall and just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games as a double digit underdog.

As for common opponents, Georgia Southern is coming off of a 48-13 win on Saturday against a South Alabama team that defeated Texas State 41-31 on September 15.

Overall I like Georgia Southern here by three touchdowns.

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2018 National League Playoff Predictions

National League Division PreviewColorado Rockies (91-72) at Milwaukee Brewers (96-67)

Game 1: Rockies: Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) at Brewers Undecided

Game 2: Rockies: Undecided at Brewers: Chacin (15-8, 3.50 ERA)

Game 3-5: Undecided

Runs Scored: Rockies 780 (7th in MLB)  Brewers 754 (12th in MLB)

Team ERA: Rockies 4.33 (20th in MLB)  Brewers 3.73 (5th in MLB)

Season Series: Milwaukee won 5-2

Record against teams with a winning record: Milwaukee 44-34, Colorado 54-39

Both teams come into this series hot. Both the Brewers and Rockies are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.  Kyle Freeland most likely will not be able to start until Game Four for the Brewers after facing the Cubs in the National League Wild Card game.

I expect a good series that can go either way, but I give the Brewers and their bullpen the advantage in this one:

My Prediction: Brewers in 5 Games

 

 

 National League Division PreviewAtlanta Braves (90-72) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (92-71)

Game 1: Braves: Foltynewicz (13-10, 2.85 ERA) at Dodgers: Ryu (7-3, 1.97 ERA)

Game 2: Braves: Sanchez (7-6, 2.83 ERA) at Dodgers; Kershaw (9-5, 2.73 ERA ERA)

Game 3-5: Undecided

Runs Scored: Dodgers 804  (5th in MLB)  Braves 759  (10th in MLB)

Team ERA: Dodgers 3.38 (2nd in MLB)  Braves 3.75 (7th in MLB)

Record against winning teams: Braves 46-39, Dodgers 53-38

Season Series: Dodgers won 5-2

I wouldn’t take the Dodgers at the -235 series price as an official bet as anything can happen in the playoffs. Overall I have to side with the more experienced, red hot Dodgers.

The Braves are dangerous, but lack postseason experience, or a reliable bullpen.

My Prediction: Dodgers in 4 Games

 

NLCS Prediction: Brewers defeat the Dodgers in 7 games