(3/29/19) Free MLB Picks

Detroit Tigers (Matthew Boyd 9-13 ERA in 2018)   at 

Toronto Blue Jays (Matt Shoemaker 2-2, 4.94 ERA in 2018)   7:08 pm EST

The Tigers picked up an upset win yesterday despite going scoreless for the first 9 innings of the game.

Matt Boyd is scheduled to take the mound for the Tigers. In 2018 Boyd was the Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde. Will Boyd was great hot home, 6-3 with a 2.63 ERA, he was only 3-10 with a 5.89 ERA on the road.

The Tigers also were only 26-55 on the road last season.

Toronto will be sending Matt Shoemaker to the mound. Shoemaker is not great but he’s a Michigan native who seems to really get up for pitching against his home state’s team. Shoemaker is 3-1 with a 0.83 ERA against the Tigers, better than any other MLB team he’s faced

My Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -129 

Risk:  To win 3 units

 

 

LA Angeles (Matt Harvey 0-2, 7.00 ERA in 2018)   at 

Oakland A’s (Marco Estrada 0-0, 5.40 ERA)   10:08 pm EST

Before the A’s 4-0 win over the Angels yesterday, the last 8 games played between these two teams in Oakland had gone over the total.

Matt Harvey will be making his debut for the Angels. Harvey only made 4 starts in overall appearances last season but posted an earned run average of 7.

Since 2016 Harvey has a 5.39 ERA in 63 overall appearances.

A’s starter Marco Estrada was 7-14 with a 5.64 ERA last season. Estrada also has a career 5.90 ERA against the Angels with the over going 3-1 in those starts.

 

My Pick: OVER 8.5

Risk:  To win 4 units

 

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (3/28/19) Free Pick

 

Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clipBoston Red Sox (Chris Sale 12-4, 2.11 ERA in 2018)   at

Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Marco Gonzales (Gonzales 13-9, 4.00 ERA in 2018)   7:08 pm EST

Similar to last season, if you want to bet on the Boston Red Sox in 2019, you are going to have to consider taking Boston on the run line or else risk good amount of juice.

The Red Sox led all of Major League Baseball in 2018 with 108 wins and 876 runs scored (5.4 per game). More importantly, Boston ended the season as World Champions.

The Seattle Mariners had a solid 2018 campaign, finishing 89-73 in 2018, however at the

All Star Break the Mariners hoped for much more.  Seattle led Oakland by three games for the final American League Wild Card spot, before going only 31-34 in the second half of the season. Oakland finished 42-23 after the All Star break and earned the final American League Wildcard spot.

The 2019 edition of the Mariners are a team looking for an identity.  In the off season Seattle traded away Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz, Jean Segura and James Paxton.  The Mariners also saw slugger Nelson Cruz, who hit 163 home runs for them over past four seasons sign with Minnesota.  The Mariners will hope that new additions Jay Bruce and Edwin Encarnacion can help replace the lost power production.

The Mariners are off to a 2-0 start after picking up two wins over Oakland in Tokyo including a 9-7 win in the season opener where Marco Gonzales started and allowed three earned runs over six innings.

Marco Gonzales is 0-1 in his career against Boston with a 7.50 ERA

Chris Sale is 6-1 against the Mariners in his career with a 1.95 ERA, his team is 7-2 overall in those games.

I don’t see this group of Mariners getting off to a 3-0 start and beating the Red Sox behind Chris Sale.  I am taking the Red Sox despite the price being higher than I would like.

My Pick: Boston Red Sox MONEYLINE -180 

Risk:  To win 3 units