(3/29/19) Free MLB Picks

Detroit Tigers (Matthew Boyd 9-13 ERA in 2018)   at 

Toronto Blue Jays (Matt Shoemaker 2-2, 4.94 ERA in 2018)   7:08 pm EST

The Tigers picked up an upset win yesterday despite going scoreless for the first 9 innings of the game.

Matt Boyd is scheduled to take the mound for the Tigers. In 2018 Boyd was the Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde. Will Boyd was great hot home, 6-3 with a 2.63 ERA, he was only 3-10 with a 5.89 ERA on the road.

The Tigers also were only 26-55 on the road last season.

Toronto will be sending Matt Shoemaker to the mound. Shoemaker is not great but he’s a Michigan native who seems to really get up for pitching against his home state’s team. Shoemaker is 3-1 with a 0.83 ERA against the Tigers, better than any other MLB team he’s faced

My Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -129 

Risk:  To win 3 units

 

 

LA Angeles (Matt Harvey 0-2, 7.00 ERA in 2018)   at 

Oakland A’s (Marco Estrada 0-0, 5.40 ERA)   10:08 pm EST

Before the A’s 4-0 win over the Angels yesterday, the last 8 games played between these two teams in Oakland had gone over the total.

Matt Harvey will be making his debut for the Angels. Harvey only made 4 starts in overall appearances last season but posted an earned run average of 7.

Since 2016 Harvey has a 5.39 ERA in 63 overall appearances.

A’s starter Marco Estrada was 7-14 with a 5.64 ERA last season. Estrada also has a career 5.90 ERA against the Angels with the over going 3-1 in those starts.

 

My Pick: OVER 8.5

Risk:  To win 4 units

 

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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (3/28/19) Free Pick

 

Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clipBoston Red Sox (Chris Sale 12-4, 2.11 ERA in 2018)   at

Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Marco Gonzales (Gonzales 13-9, 4.00 ERA in 2018)   7:08 pm EST

Similar to last season, if you want to bet on the Boston Red Sox in 2019, you are going to have to consider taking Boston on the run line or else risk good amount of juice.

The Red Sox led all of Major League Baseball in 2018 with 108 wins and 876 runs scored (5.4 per game). More importantly, Boston ended the season as World Champions.

The Seattle Mariners had a solid 2018 campaign, finishing 89-73 in 2018, however at the

All Star Break the Mariners hoped for much more.  Seattle led Oakland by three games for the final American League Wild Card spot, before going only 31-34 in the second half of the season. Oakland finished 42-23 after the All Star break and earned the final American League Wildcard spot.

The 2019 edition of the Mariners are a team looking for an identity.  In the off season Seattle traded away Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz, Jean Segura and James Paxton.  The Mariners also saw slugger Nelson Cruz, who hit 163 home runs for them over past four seasons sign with Minnesota.  The Mariners will hope that new additions Jay Bruce and Edwin Encarnacion can help replace the lost power production.

The Mariners are off to a 2-0 start after picking up two wins over Oakland in Tokyo including a 9-7 win in the season opener where Marco Gonzales started and allowed three earned runs over six innings.

Marco Gonzales is 0-1 in his career against Boston with a 7.50 ERA

Chris Sale is 6-1 against the Mariners in his career with a 1.95 ERA, his team is 7-2 overall in those games.

I don’t see this group of Mariners getting off to a 3-0 start and beating the Red Sox behind Chris Sale.  I am taking the Red Sox despite the price being higher than I would like.

My Pick: Boston Red Sox MONEYLINE -180 

Risk:  To win 3 units

 

Saturday Nov. 3 NCAA Football Picks

Currently 3-1 on my NCAA Picks from Tuesday to Friday this week.

Here are my picks from Saturday Nov. 3

Good luck!

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Tuesday October 23 NBA FREE PICK

Los Angeles Clippers at New Orleans Pelicans Pick

I think this is a goodAnthony_Davis_Pelicans_2018_AP time to jump on the UNDER. After the Pelicans have combined for 243 points with the Rockets and 278 points against the Kings. The Pelicans are on fire, but this pace can not continue forever.

The Clippers have combined for only 205 points with Denver, 200 with Oklahoma City, and 227 with the Rockets.

The Clippers are currently 24th in points scored and 27th in three point percentage.

The Pelicans are hot offensively, but I expect enough of a cool down here for less than 122 points. On the other side, I don’t see the Clippers surpassing 118 points in regulation.

In order to go over this game would have to be the highest scoring between these two teams in their 22 game history.

Let’s take UNDER this huge number.

MY PICK: UNDER 239

 

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Wednesday Oct. 17 Personal NBA Picks

The 2018-2019 NBA Season is here.  With a full slate of games tonight, I have picks in two games that I like in the NBA tonight.

Game 1: Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors  7:35pm EST

My Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers +12  Five Units

Cleveland Cavaliers Moneyline One Unit +837

There are high expectations in Toronto this season, while Cleveland is expected to see a huge drop off and struggle without Lebron James.

Toronto is definitely the better team here, but with a new coach, new superstar and new season I think the 12 point line is high. Expect the Cavaliers to play with some pride in game one and play with something to prove.

I am also making a small Moneyline play on the Cavaliers due to the possible huge return.

 Game 2: Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs  8:35pm EST

My Pick: Spurs -2  Five Units

                Spurs Moneyline  -135 One Unit

The Spurs are 13-1 straight up in their last 14 games against Minnesota.

There are serious chemistry questions in Minnesota right now involving Jimmy Butler.

For the first day of the season, I have to back the Spurs at home here.

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NCAA Thursday Night Football Pick: Georgia Southern at Texas State Prediction Oct. 11, 2018

 

Georgia Southern at Texas State

My Pick Georgia Southern -17  *Five Units

This feels like a blow out to me, I actually had Georgia State -23 in this game.  So why is the line only 17 points?

On paper Georgia Southern is 0-6 against the spread in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record. Georgia Southern is also only 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games against losing teams. Those numbers are particularly bad due to Georgia State finishing 2-10 overall last season.
Despite a terrible 2017, Georgia Southern is a perfect 5-0 against the spread this season.  Straight up the Eagles are 4-0 at home and 0-1 on the road, but that road defeat was 38-7 to Clemson in a game that the Eagles trailed 24-7 early in the fourth quarter. Georgia State is also 4-1 against the spread in their last five conference games overall dating back to last season.

Texas State is 1-4 on the season straight up, with the win coming over Texas Southern of the SWAC 36-20.

Against the spread the Texas State Bobcats are 1-3-1 this season overall and just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games as a double digit underdog.

As for common opponents, Georgia Southern is coming off of a 48-13 win on Saturday against a South Alabama team that defeated Texas State 41-31 on September 15.

Overall I like Georgia Southern here by three touchdowns.

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Our goal is to get all picks out at least three hours before game time. 

*All handicapping picks will be sent out at least three hours before game time. Picks can be texted or e-mailed, you decide.
**A 8.25% sales tax is added onto all packages. This is for Uncle Sam not me!
Get Sports Strong thanks you for your support. Get Sports Strong does not guarantee any results on our predictions.
All services are strictly for entertainment purposes and may not be used in connection with any form of illegal gambling.
Sports betting is legal in some parts of the world and illegal in others. You should be certain of sports betting laws in your area. If you are not certain of the laws regarding sports betting in your area you should investigate those laws.

With any questions or concerns, message me on Twitter or Facebook at @GetSportsStrong or e-mail me at betsportsstrong@gmail.com

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