Thursday May 12 MLB Pick (Phillies at Braves)

After going 2-4 yesterday, we are back with just one play today. On Friday we will be back and loaded up with more plays.  Here is my play for Thursday May 12.  Good luck!

 

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (Phillies Moneyline -128)

Phillies (Velasquez 4-1. 2.17)  Braves (Blair 0-2, 3.31)

Braves are 0-3 when Blair starts this season.  Phillies are 4-2 when Velasquez starts. Braves are 2-1 in Velasquez’s road starts. Atlanta defeated the Phillies yesterday, but since April 20, the Braves have failed to win two games in a row. Braves are 4-15 in their last 19 games. Picking a Phillies win to get back on track.

AP_vincent-velasquez-940x540

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Wednesday May 11 MLB Picks

Six MLB picks for Wednesday May 11

 

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers (Under 9 runs -115)

White Sox: (Latos 5-0, 2.62 Rangers Hamels 4-0, 2.68)

The 9 run over/under is on the high end seeing how well both of these starters have pitched. Unders are 18-13-3 in White Sox games this season. I expect a pitchers duel under 9 runs.

 

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (Red Sox -1.5, Even)

Athletics (Surkamp 0-2, 5.59)  Red Sox (Porcello 5-1, 2.95)

The Red Sox have scored a total of 27 runs in the first two series games against the Athletics. Oakland has also lost eight of their last nine games. The A’s are expected to lose, so the odds on picking the Red Sox are only -185.  I am taking the Red Sox -1.5 with the odds allowing us an even profit.

 

Detroit Tigers at Washington Nationals 

*Two Picks (Over 7 Runs -110 and Tigers Moneyline +140)

Tigers (Zimmerman 5-1, 1.10)  Nationals (Scherzer 3-2, 4.60)

Two aces face their former teams in an expected pitchers duel.  The over is 22-10 this season when the Tigers play.  The Tigers are averaging 6.4 runs against National League teams this season, and the Tigers have faced some very good pitching during interleague play. Schrezer is second in MLB with nine home runs allowed. I like the chances of over seven runs being scored in this game.

It will be interesting to see how both pitchers match-up against their former teams. In the first two match-ups of the series the Tigers had a starting pitching disadvantage, and both of those games ended 5-4, with each team winning a game.  The Tigers are good value here at +140 to win.

 

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Angels 

*Two Picks (Over 7.5 Runs-120 and Cardinals Moneyline -132)

St. Louis: Garcia (2-2, 3.05)  Angles (Shoemaker 1-4, 9.15)

Shoemaker has been recalled from AAA to make a start since the Angeles have four starters on the disabled list. Garcia was very sharp in his start allowing only two hits and no runs in seven innings against the Phillies.  With Shoemaker pitching, I like the chances of this game going over 7.5 runs, I also like the Cardinals to win.

 

 

May 10 Record 2-1

Get Sports Strong  MLB Season Record 29-21

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Tuesday May 10 MLB Picks

You have to own the bad days along with the good days. May 9 was not a good day in baseball for us, dropping all three picks.  The season is a sprint not a marathon and we are still running today.  Here are three MLB picks for Tuesday to get back on track. 

May 9 Record 0-3

Get Sports Strong  MLB Season Record 27-20

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (Over 9.5 Runs -120)

Athletics (Manaea 0-0, 7.20)  Red Sox (O’ Sullivan 0-0. 9.00)

Not a stellar pitching match-up. Sean O’Sullivan comes in with a 5.96 career ERA over 52 career starts.  A’s prospect Sean Manaea has allowed four runs in both of his first two career starts this season. After combining for 21 runs yesterday, I see these two teams going over 9.5 runs.

 

Detroit Tigers at Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5 Runs, +130)

Tigers (Fulmer 1-1, 6.30)  Nationals (Ross 3-1, 1.23)

Throughout the Tigers current seven game losing steak, you keep getting the feeling that the Tigers are too good to let this continue, but the bleeding has not stopped. Six of the seven losses during Detroit’s current losing steak have been by four runs or more.  The Tigers will send out rookie starter Micheal Fulmer who has given up 17 hits and 7 earned runs in 10 innings pitched so far.  Joe Ross has not allowed more than two runs in any start this season, and in the start were he allowed two earned runs he was facing the Cubs. I am picking Washington to win by more then one run.  With +130 odds this is a good opportunity to pick up some positive juice.

 

Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants (Blue Jays Moneyline -123)

Blue Jays (Happ 4-0, 2.50)  Giants (Cain 0-4, 7.84)

JA Happ

The recent trend of these two starting pitchers heavily favors Toronto.  Blue Jays starter, J.A Happ has made eight consecutive quality starts going back to last season.  Giants starter, Matt Cain has only had one quality start this season in six attempts. Cain’s last start resulted in a 17-7 loss to the Colorado Rockies. I like the Blue Jays to pick up the road victory.

 

 

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Monday May 9 MLB Picks

Today kicks off our third week of the season with public MLB picks for you. Let’s have another positive week.

Last week May 2-7 record  14-10

Get Sports Strong  MLB Season Record 27-17

 

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (A’s Moneyline +110)

Athletics (Gray 3-3, 4.84)  Red Sox (Buchholz 1-3, 5.71)

sonny-gray
Sonny Gray leads the A’s into Fenway Park Monday night.

Both starting pitchers have struggled this season, but Sonny Gray has had more positive moments than Clay Bucholz has.  Current Red Sox hitters have only a .128 BA average against Sonny Gray. A’s are 9-7 on the road, much better then their 5-11 home record. I like the Athletics as an underdog pick here.

Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros (Indians Moneyline – 125)

Indians (Kluber 2-3, 3.35) Astros (Fiers 2-1, 5.35)

Corey Kluber is 4-1 with a 1.48 ERA in his career against the Astros. After getting off to a slow start Kluber is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last three starts this season. The Astros have only won two consecutive games once this season. I like the Indians to win this game.

 

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (Rockies Moneyline -150)

Diamondbacks (Bradley 0-0, 10.38)  Rockies (Chatwood 4-2, 2.15)

tyler-chatwood-mlb-philadelphia-phillies-colorado-rockies-4
Chatwood has already defeated the Diamondbacks twice this season.

This will be the seventh time these two teams have met already this season. The Rockies have won five of the first six match-ups. Tyler Chatwood is 2-0 against Arizona this season. In those two starts Chatwood has allowed one earned run over a total of 12 2/3 innings.  I am looking for Chatwood to improve to 3-0 against the Diamondbacks this season and picking the Rockies to win at home.

 

 

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Sunday May 8 MLB Quick Picks

Two quick Mother’s Day Picks

Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs (Cubs Moneyline -220)

Nationals (Roark 2-2, 2.35) Cubs (Arrieta 6-0, 0.84)

Cubs have won 23 out of 24 with Arrieta starting. To make it simple, we are going to keep our faith in Arrieta and his hot streak.

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees (Red Sox Moneyline -110)

Red Sox (Wright 2-3) Yankees (Severino 0-4, 6.31)

Red Sox should avoid the sweep and get the win.

 

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Saturday May 7 MLB Picks

Here are my six picks for Saturday May 7

 

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees (Red Sox Moneyline -122)

Red Sox (Price, 4-0, 6.14)   Yankees (Eovaldi, 1-2, 5.46) 

For Price and Eovaldi, this is a rematch from a 8-7 Red Sox win on May 1. Despite the early season struggles of David Price, he has been better on the road (2.57 ERA) then at home (8.34 ERA). Collectively, Red Sox hitters have seen success against Nathan Eovaldi. David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia and Hanley Ramirez are a combined 15 for 33 (.454 BA) in their careers against Eovaldi. Anything goes in this rivalry, but Price is still the better starting pitcher in this match-up. Boston also leads all of MLB in batting average, while the Yankees rank 27th.  With both bullpens being about even, I like the Red Sox to win here.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays (Dodgers Moneyline -175)

Dodgers (Kershaw, 3-1, 1.96) Blue Jays: Dickey (1-3, 5.73)

I’m betting on Clayton Kershaw over R.A. Dickey.  Dickey is coming off of his best start of the season, where he allowed one earned run in 6 1/3 innings.  The Blue Jays however, still lost that game and have lost five out of the six games that Dickey has started. There is a lot of juice here, but I like the  Dodgers as the money line pick to win.

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox (White Sox Moneyline -190)

Twins (Santana 0-1, 3.15) White Sox (Sale 6-0, 1.66)

Chris Sale has been great this season. The White Sox come in with the best record in the American League, while the Twins sit at the bottom. I took the White Sox last night and they won 10-4. I am taking the White Sox to win again.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves (Over 7.5 Runs, -115)

Diamondbacks (Miller  0-3, 8.49) Braves (Teheran 0-3, 3.72)

Overs are 16-9-3 for the Braves this season. Overs are 16-14-1 for the Diamondbacks.  Juilo Teheran has been very sharp in his last three starts but the Atlanta bullpen is shaky. Diamondback starter Shelby Miller is off to a terrible start.  Over 7.5 runs scored is not too much to ask for here.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants  (Two picks: Giants Moneyline -165 and Over 7.5 Runs -105)

13 of the Giants last 15 games have gone over. With Jon Gray starting for the Rockies, 7.5 is a low number here. I am picking this game to go over 7.5 runs scored. I am also picking the Giants to win.

 

Get Sports Strong Record so far this week 9-7

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Friday May 6 MLB Picks

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins ( Under 7 Runs -110)

Phillies: Velasquez (4-1, 1.44) Marlins: Chen (2-1, 4.26)

Phillies rookie Vince Velasquez has held his opponents to an .164 batting average this season. Only one of Velasquez five starts have gone over the run line this season. The Phillies will need Velasquez to be sharp once again. Offensively, the Phillies have a .166 batting average against left-handed pitchers, which is the worst in Major League Baseball. Phillies batters also only have a .167 career batting average against Marlins starter Wei-Yin Chen. With the numbers favoring the pitching, I am picking this game to go under 7 runs scored.

 

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (Sox Moneyline -132)

Twins: Nolasco (1-0. 4.05) Sox: Latos (4-0, 1.84)

Twins hitter have a career average of .143 against Latos as a team. Twins have a 2-12 road record this season. With Matt Latos and the White Sox playing so well up to this point, I have to take the White Sox to win at home.

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles ( A’s Moneyline -106)

Athletics: Hill (3-3, 2.53)  Orioles: Jimenez (1-3, 5.20)

Rick Hill, the 36 year old left hander has pitched very well in this young season. He has a 0.95 ERA on the road this season in three starts. In those starts he faced the Mariners, Yankees and Tigers.  Against Ubaldo Jimenez, I like the Athletics in this game to win.

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