Tag: Atlanta Braves

APRIL 7 FREE MLB PICK

Yesterday we did not make any MLB plays. Currently we are 5-2 on the season.

Here is your free play for tonight.

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies 8:10pm EST

Projected Starters: Braves: Anibal Sanchez vs Rockies: Chad Bettis

At this moment I am not sure that Atlanta starter Anibal Sanchez be trusted. For his career Sanchez is 4-0 when starting against Colorado with an ERA of 1.77, however Sanchez has not faced the Rockies since 2014 when he was a very different pitcher. Since 2015 Sanchez is 20-30 with a 5.63 earned run average.

Rockies projected starter, Chad Bettis has won five out of his last six home starts against teams with a winning record. Last season Bettis threw six shutout innings against the Braves at home in Colorado.

I like the Rockies here as home favorites after dropping the series opener.

My Pick: Colorado Rockies Money Line -133

 

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies (Free Pick) Aug. 15

Atlanta Braves 52-64 (Newcomb 1-7, 4.45 ERA)  at  Colorado Rockies 66-52 (Freeland 11-7, 3.70 ERA) 8:40pm CST

 

The Colorado Rockies currently find themselves tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the two National League Wildcard spots, holding a five game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals. Tonight the Rockies host, the Atlanta Braves, who seem to be well on their way to their fourth consecutive losing season.

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The Braves will be sending rookie south paw Sean Newcomb to the mound tonight. Based on Newcomb’s 1-7 record and 4.45 earned run average, a quick glance at the opening line may lead you to expect him to get shelled tonight by the Rockies line-up.

Coors Field is not just any ballpark, however Newcomb may be up for the challenge since he has pitched much better on the road this season. In his four starts away from SunTrust Park, the rookie is 1-1 with a 3.43 earned run average while holding opponents to .197 batting average, opposed to his 0-6 record and 5.02 earned run average at home.

Alot of other signs point to the under here, including seven of the Rockies last eight Tuesday home games going under the Vegas total. Seven of Sean Newcombs 11 career starts have gone under the total as well and the under is also 9-5-1 in Atlanta’s last 15 games.

The Rockies have a reputation for scoring a lot of runs but only 44% of the Rockies games have gone over this season (49-63-6). The Under is also 8-2 in the Rockies last ten games overall and 15-4-2 in Rockies starter Kyle Freeland’s starts this season.

Once again I see this as an excellent opportunity to take advantage of the inflated 11.5 over/under due to this game being played at Coors Field.

Regarding my prediction on the outcome, I like the Rockies to win against the Moneyline as well. The Braves have lost their last 11 games in Colorado and are 2-9 in their last 11 games as underdog.

The Rockies have won 21 of their last 29 home games with the total going under in seven of the Rockies last eight home games on Tuesday.

I strongly recommend two plays here: UNDER 11.5 RUNS and Rockies Moneyline

Get Strong Sports Prediction: Rockies 7 Braves 3

 

 

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MLB Picks: Opening Day April 3

Rough day one start. We went 0-2 with two losses coming in the bottom of the 9th.  Results from April 2, 2017: 0-2  (MLB Pot -$1,000)

Game 1- $500.00 San Francisco Giants moneyline (-122.0) pick locked in 4/2/17 

Result: LOSS  Arizona 6 San Francisco 5

Game 2- $500.00 Chicago Cubs moneyline (-116.0) pick locked in 4/2/17 

Result: LOSS   St. Louis 4 Chicago Cubs 3

Here is my underdog pick of the day for today April 3.


Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
(Braves: Teheran)  (Mets: Syndergaard) 1:10 pm EST

teheran_1280_nddchni7_saj26eczAtlanta Bravers starter Julio Teheran is 7-3 in 14 career starts against the Mets with an ERA of 2.02 and a 0.989 Whip. Last season he was 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA against the Mets. Current Mets hitters have a .195 career average against Teheran. The Braves as a team are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Mets starter Noah Synedergaard is 0-1 when starting against Atlanta with an ERA of 5.52 in three career starts. Current Braves are hitting .300 against Synedergaard.

The Atlanta Braves moneyline (+178.0)  are my pick and have value here.
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Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves- July 1 Prediction

Marlins (Nicolino 2-4, 5.17 ERA) Braves (Teheran 3-7, 2.46 ERA)

Julio Teheran has had tough luck at home this season. The 25 year old right hander is winless in nine starts at Turner Field his season where he is an 0-4 record despite a 2.80 earned run average. Teheran will come in carrying a 23 consecutive scoreless inning streak. Teheran has 1.72 earned run average in his last 13 starts.

Marlins starter Justin Nicolino had a 6.89 ERA in three June starts, but he has had past success against the Braves. Nicotine is 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA all time against the Braves.

Obviously the Braves offense has been a huge problem this year, which is why Teheran has a 3-7 record. The Braves production against left handed pitching this season also is a cause for doubt. However, I like the value here and I’m taking Atlanta -113. I think Teheran will be lights out once again and the Braves will provide enough run support to pull this one out.

 

My other free play for tonight: Detroit Tigers Money line -115 over Tampa Bay

Wednesday June 8 MLB Day Game Preview

Early weekday games can sneak up on you before you have time to truly evaluate your best options. There’s a full slate of baseball later tonight along with a huge NBA finals game. However there’s equal opportunity to improve your bank roll this afternoon. Here is a preview of today’s early games in Major League Baseball, and my thoughts if you want to get your bets in early.

 

Cubs at Phillies

The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies will play in the rubber match of their series at 1:05 EST. The Cubs are favored as always, but at -180 money line odds. Phillies starter Vince Velasquez (5-2 , 3.67 ERA) has not pitched beyond five innings in his last four starts. This includes his May 29 start at Wrigley Field where he allowed nine hits and seven earned runs over 4 2/3 innings.

John Lackey (6-2 , 2.88 ERA) is 2-1 with a 4.55 ERA on the road this season due to two rough starts in April, but he is 3-0 with 1.57 ERA in day games this season.

If you decide to bet the Cubs you will have to lay down plenty of juice, but there are not enough reasons to confidently bet on the Phillies. My recommendation is to take Chicago.

Blue Jays at Tigers

The Detroit Tigers will look for their second consecutive series sweep when they host the Toronto Blue Jays. With Jordan Zimmerman on the mound, I like the Tigers chances.

Jordan Zimmerman has allowed more than three earned runs only once this season in 10 starts. The Tigers overall are playing their best baseball of the season and the offense will be a challenge for RA Dickey. Dickey is 4-1 against the Tigers since 2013 with a 4.15 ERA and Tigers hitter have a mixed history against him.

Right now the Tigers are finding ways to win and I like them as a -125 moneyline favorite.

Braves at Padres

I expect a good pitchers duel between two bad teams when the Atlanta Braves take on the San Diego Padres. The fact that Juilo Teheran is only 1-6 despite having a 2.92 ERA and 1.05 WHIP tells the story of how pathetic his run support has been this season. The Braves have managed to score more than three runs only once in the 12 starts made by Teheran this season.

With the Padres sending left handed pitcher Drew Pomeranz (5-5, 2.22 ERA) to the mound, don’t expect for Teheran’s run support to improve. Pomeranz has fallen on some hard luck as well, finding himself on the losing end of two 1-0 games this season, along with winning a 1-0 and 2-0 game. Pomeranz has a 3-1 and 0.73 ERA at home this season. At even money I would lean towards the Padres to win this game, but San Diego is a -150 favorite. So you have to ask if yourself if you really want to lay down -150 on the San Diego Padres against a pitcher as good as Teheran? Playing for under 7 runs is my recommendation here.

Rays at Diamondbacks

Overall this is a pretty even match-up on paper.
Jake Odorizzi (2-3, 3.33 ERA) has been pitching well for the Rays over his last four starts allowing no more than two runs in any of those starts. Archie Bradley (2-1, 4.94 ERA) is coming off of a very strong start against the Chicago Cubs where he only allowed one earned run over six innings with 10 strikeouts. The 8.5 over/under is also right where it should be. Nothing would surprise me in this game, and it is hard to trust the Diamondbacks at home where they are only 10-21 despite winning last night.
Personally among the four early games, this would be my least favorite to bet on.

 

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Sunday May 29 (Nine MLB Picks against Vegas)

Here are my nine plays for Sunday May 29

 

1. Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays  (Red Sox -1.5, +120)

Red Sox (Price 7-1, 5.34)  Blue Jays (Dickey 2-6, 4.60)

After a rough start to the season, David Price is now 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA over his past three starts. Price is also 8-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 10 meetings against the Blue Jays. Since the start of last season,  RA Dickey is 0-5 with a 5.21 ERA in eight starts against Boston. I like the Red Sox here.

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Indians (Orioles Moneyline -125)

Orioles (Tillman 6-1, 2.61)  Indians (Clevinger 0-1, 8.71)

Baltimore has lost five out of six games but I think things will begin turn around for the Orioles here.  Chris Tillman has been the Orioles best starting pitcher this season.

Cleveland rookie Mike Clevinger has allowed 10 earned runs in his first two starts over 10 1/3 innings. I like the Orioles to win here.

3. Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals (Royals +1.5, -125)

White Sox (Sale 9-1, 2.26) Royals (Volquez 5-4, 3.67)

White Sox are beginning to struggle coming in as loser of five in a row. Saturday the Royals scored seven runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to defeat the Sox.  Several Royals have very good career numbers against Sale.

I like the Royals here, but coming off of a bad start I do not doubt Chris Sale’s ability to get back on track and lead Chicago to victory. If Volquez can keep the Royals in the game before the bullpens take over then the advantage is in the Royals favor. I am picking the Royals to cover -1.5 here, meaning either Kansas City wins or loses by one run or less.

4. St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5, +125)

Cardinals (Wacha 2-5, 5.04)  Strasburg (8-0, 2.79)

Michael Wacha has given up 14 earned runs in his last eight innings pitched and lost his last five decisions.  I am picking the Nationals and Stephen Strasburg, who has a chance to improve to 9-0 on the season.

5. Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics (Athletics Moneyline-165)

Tigers (Pelfrey 0-4, 5.55)  A’s (Hill 7-3, 2.18)

The Tigers are 3-6 against left handed pitchers on the season. Rich Hill beat the Tigers on April 26, allowing no earned runs over seven innings. Hill gives the A’s the clear pitching advantage here. The Tigers offense has been hot, but Mike Pelfrey starting does not give Detroit the best chance. I like Oakland to win.

6. San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Padres Moneyline -120)

Padres (Pomeranz 4-4, 1.70) Diamondbacks (Bradley 1-0, 7.84)

Arizona is starting Archie Bradley who has just been called up from AAA. Over 10 career starts he has a 6.26 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. The advantage here is with Drew Pomeranz and the Padres.

7. Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (Mariners -1.5, +120)

Twins (Nolasco 1-3, 5.54)  Mariners (Walker 2-4, 2.70)

The Twins have won three in a row, I trend that should be coming to an end soon.  The Twins have lost the last five games that Nolasco has started.

Despite losing his last four decisions, Taijuan Walker has not allowed more then four earned runs in any starts this season. The Mariners are the better team with the better starting pitcher here. I like Seattle to win by more than a run.

8. Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (Braves Moneyline -130)

Marlins (Koehler 2-5, 4.79) Braves (Teheran 1-4, 2.57)

On April 16 Tom Koehler gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 inning to the Braves. Current Braves hitters are batting .370 against Koehler overall.

As bad as Atlanta has been this season, the Braves are 5-0 against the Marlins.Julio Teheran has allowed only one run or less in his last six starts.  For his career Teheran is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts against the Marlins.  I like Atlanta to complete the sweep.

9. Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets (Dodgers Moneyline -210)

Dodgers (Kershaw 7-1, 1.48) Mets (Colon 4-3, 3.44)

The Dodgers defeated the Mets 5-0 when Clayton Kershaw faced Bartolo Colon on May 17 in Los Angeles.

Kershaw is 7-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his ten career regular season starts against the Mets. I am expecting a Dodgers win.

 

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Thursday May 12 MLB Pick (Phillies at Braves)

After going 2-4 yesterday, we are back with just one play today. On Friday we will be back and loaded up with more plays.  Here is my play for Thursday May 12.  Good luck!

 

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (Phillies Moneyline -128)

Phillies (Velasquez 4-1. 2.17)  Braves (Blair 0-2, 3.31)

Braves are 0-3 when Blair starts this season.  Phillies are 4-2 when Velasquez starts. Braves are 2-1 in Velasquez’s road starts. Atlanta defeated the Phillies yesterday, but since April 20, the Braves have failed to win two games in a row. Braves are 4-15 in their last 19 games. Picking a Phillies win to get back on track.

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