Jake Arrieta and the Philadelphia Phillies really let us down yesterday. We felt very good about the seven unit play but the Marlins got the upset 8-4. Overall we went 2-2, but the other three picks were only two units each.

Now 27-20 on the MLB season, here is tonight’s free MLB pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers (12-16) at Arizona Diamondbacks (20-8) 9:40 pm EST

Projected Starters: Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.84 ERA) at  Matt Koch (1-0, 1.93)(4-1, 2.32 ERA) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 2-4 on the season when Clayton Kershaw has started this season. In those losses games the Dodgers were favored by -295 (San Francisco) , -155 (at Arizona), -140 (Washington) and -370 (Miami).

Kershaw will be facing the Diamondbacks for the third time already this season. Kershaw is 1-1 with a 2.08 earned run average on the season, including a 7-2 win and a 6-1 loss.

The Diamondbacks will be sending Matt Kock to the mound. Koch has only made four starts in his major league career and is 2-1 with a 2.81 earned run average and 0.88 WHIP of 0.54.

The fact that Kershaw is only 1-4 this season, despite pitching very well shows how much the Dodgers struggled in April. The Dodgers are 5-11 against the money line after a loss this season. The Dodgers are also only 1-6 against the Diamondbacks this season.

The Diamondbacks are playing as well as any team in the National League right now and with Kershaw pitching for the Dodgers, you can get even value, even if the Diamondbacks lose, as long as this keep this game with-in one run.


My Pick:  Arizona Diamondbacks (+1.5) +107.0  (Five Units)


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