MLB Picks April 6

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Apr 5, 2017; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Minnesota Twins outfielder Eddie Rosario (20) congratulates third baseman Miguel Sano (22) after scoring in the second inning against the Kansas City Royals at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

I am going to be as transparent as possible. Wednesday was another losing day at 1-2. The win came with the Braves pulling out a 3-1 12th inning victory over the Mets.  We had the Braves at +1.5, too bad we punked out and didn’t go Braves Moneyline at +194.

The over 7.5 for the Yankees-Rays game was looking really good when the Rays took a 4-1 lead in the 2nd inning.  Unfortunately there were no more runs scored beyond the second inning, and the Yankees went 0 for 9 with runners in scoring position.

The beginning of this season has been very frustrating, however even if we were currently on a winning streak, the baseball season and sports handicapping is a marathon, not a sprint.

2017 MLB Season Results:

April 2, 2017: 0-2  (MLB Pot -$1,000)

April 3, 2017: 1-2 (MLB Pot -$835.53)

April 4, 2017: 2-2  (MLB Pot -$152.53)

April 5, 2017: 1-2  (MLB Pot -$519.23)

April 5 Recap:  Game 1- $500.00  Marlins at Nationals UNDER 9 runs

Result: LOSS Nationals 6 Marlins 4

Game 2- $500.00  Yankees at Rays OVER 7.5 runs

Result: LOSS Rays 4 Yankees 1
Game 3- $500.00 Mets +1.5 Runs  (-104)
Result: WIN Braves 3 Mets 1
Total season record (4-8 MLB Pot “-$2,507.29”)

With so many early games today, below I have all of my MLB Picks listed with a very brief explanation.

MLB Picks for April 6, 2017

Kansas City Royals (MONEYLINE +108) at Minnesota Twins
(Royals: Hammel)   (Twins: Gibson) 1:10 pm EST
The Twins have won the first two games of the series and now come into the final game of this three game series as favorites. The Twins are  26-52 against American League Central opponents over the last 2 season.  I am going with two picks here, the underdog Royals (+108)  to get the win and the total of OVER 8 runs.
San Diego Padres (MONEYLINE +205) at Los Angeles Dodgers
(Padres: Weaver)   (Dodgers: McCarthy) 3:10 pm EST
With odds of +205, you can make a profit but winning only 33% of your bets.  Dodgers starter Brandon McCarthy has only made a total of 13 starts and 63 innings pitched the last two seasons.  The Dodgers are +220 favorites, but the Padres have played them tough recently. These teams have split the last 22 games against each other with 11 wins a piece. Give me the Padres +205 MONEYLINE.
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Detroit Tigers at Kansas Royals Pick (Sept. 2)

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

Tigers (Sanchez 7-13, 5.92) Royals (Duffy 11-2, 3.01) 8:15pm EST

The Detroit Tigers will be looking for redemption after being swept at home by the Kansas Royals the last time these teams met. The Tigers have gone 9-4 since August 17 when the Royals completed the sweep.

This series is huge for both teams. The Tigers find themselves 4.5 games behind Cleveland in the American League Central and currently tied for the last wildcard spit. The Kansas City Royals are three games behind the Tigers.

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Tonight the starting pitching match-up favors Kansas City. Royals starter Danny Duffy is coming of a loss to the Boston Red Sox in his last start, but prior to that defeat the Royals had won 11 consecutive games that Duffy started.

Duffy is 2-0 against Detroit this season with a 4.71 ERA over three starts and five appearances.

Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez is having his worse season since he became a consistent starter in the major leagues. However, Sanchez’s best start of the season came against the Royals on August 17 when he allowed only one hit and no runs over seven innings while striking out eight batters. That remarkable start for Sanchez still resulted in a 4-1 Tigers loss.

Sanchez has shown signs of turning the page lately, allowing three runs or less in four of his last six starts. The Tigers however are only 2-8 in the last ten starts that Sanchez has made. Sanchez is 3-7 with a 7.65 ERA average in road games this season and 4-7 with a 6.24 ERA in night games.

Danny Duffy is 6-0 with a 3.16 ERA at home. Overall the Royals are 18-6 in their last 24 games despite coming in on a two game losing streak. The Royals have also won five of their last seven home games against the Tigers.

Both of these team know each other well and are good ball clubs. The Tigers can hope that Sanchez can bring the same magic on the road that he channeled the last time that the Royals faced him at Comerica Park.

At -145 the Royals Moneyline is the smart play here.

 

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