June 6 Free Major League Baseball Pick

We went 3-2 in MLB on Tuesday. Today we are taking it slow with one pick.

Here is my free pick for June 6

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates 7:05 PM EST

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TUESDAY APRIL 24 FREE MLB PICK

Yesterday we had an awful beat. We saw value in the Twins +186 and Minnesota lost to the New York Yankees 14-1.

This drops our record to 23-12 on the season in Major League baseball, still up 20.76 units on the season.

Here is our play for Tuesday April 24.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates 7:05pm EST

Projected Starters: Tigers: Zimmerman (1-0, 7.71 ERA) at Pirates: Kuhl  (2-1, 4.57 ERA)

The OVER is 3-1 in Zimmerman’s four starts this season. The one UNDER came  in a game against Cleveland where Zimmerman had to leave the game in the first inning after being hit in the face by a line drive.

One the season Zimmerman is 1-0 but has a 7.71 earned run average. He allowed four runs and six hits over six innings against Pittsburgh on opening day in a game that ended 13-10.

Pirates projected starter Chad Kuhl comes in with a 2-1 record and 4.57 earned run average. The OVER is 4-0 when he pitches this season. Kuhl allowed eight hits and four earned runs against Detroit on April 1 this season in a 8-6 Pirates victory.

The Pittsburgh bullpen has a 5.23 ERA this season and the Detroit bullpen has a 4.42 ERA this season

My pick: OVER 8.5 Runs  Four Units

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APRIL 14 FREE MLB PICK

Friday the 13th lived up to the name. After consistently making no more than two plays a day, we made three picks yesterday and went 1-2. This drops our record to 10-8 on the season up 1.44 units.  We are scaling back to just one pick for tonight for three units.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins 7:10 pm EST

Projected Starters: Pirates: Taillon (2-0, 1.26) at Marlins: Richard (0-1, 8.64 ERA)

More juice then we have laid yet this season, , but I don’t expect the Pirates to lose again to the Marlins with Jameson Taillon on the mound.

 

My Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline (-152) Three Units 

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APRIL 5 FREE MLB PICK

Yesterday the Yankees won 7-2 making our pick on the Yankees-Rays under 8 runs the first MLB loss for us this season.

So keeping score, this makes us 5-1 on this season’s Major League Baseball plays, all of which have been free. Hopefully we can get back on track with a win for you here.

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Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates 7:05pm EST

Projected Starters: Reds: Homer Bailey vs Pirates: Steven Brault 

Reds starter Homer Bailey is 6-2 all time when pitching at PNC Park with an 2.48 earned run average there. Bailey was impressive in the season opener against a Washington Nationals team that has owned him in the past. In that game Bailey went six innings and allowed only one run, on the way to a 2-0 defeat.

The Reds opened the season being swept by the Nationals at home, then they came back to beat the Cubs 1-0 in the only game of that series. The second game of the series was postponed Tuesday, and then the Reds were off yesterday, so Cincinnati is coming into this game with a rare two days off.

The Pittsburgh Pirates swept the Detroit Tigers to open their season, in a weird series were two games were originally postponed, which forced one double header. The Pirates won the season opener of that series 13-10 with the help of a very controversial call. After the 3-0 start, the Pirates split a two game series with the Twins.

Pirates projected starter, Steven Brault picked up the win in relief of the 13-10 victory over the Tigers. Brault has only made 11 career starts. He is 2-3 with a career earned run average of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.69.

With the +124 value on the Reds, you need to win just 46% of games to come ahead. With the Pirates currently -135 favorites  you would have to win 57% of your bets to profit.

These are division rivals who I feel are pretty even. The Reds are only 1-3 right now, while the Pirates are 4-1. However, the Reds have had a more difficult schedule so far. These teams will go back and forth this season and tonight the value is on the Reds.

My Pick: Cincinnati Reds Money Line

 

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