Sunday May 29 (Nine MLB Picks against Vegas)

Here are my nine plays for Sunday May 29

 

1. Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays  (Red Sox -1.5, +120)

Red Sox (Price 7-1, 5.34)  Blue Jays (Dickey 2-6, 4.60)

After a rough start to the season, David Price is now 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA over his past three starts. Price is also 8-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 10 meetings against the Blue Jays. Since the start of last season,  RA Dickey is 0-5 with a 5.21 ERA in eight starts against Boston. I like the Red Sox here.

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Indians (Orioles Moneyline -125)

Orioles (Tillman 6-1, 2.61)  Indians (Clevinger 0-1, 8.71)

Baltimore has lost five out of six games but I think things will begin turn around for the Orioles here.  Chris Tillman has been the Orioles best starting pitcher this season.

Cleveland rookie Mike Clevinger has allowed 10 earned runs in his first two starts over 10 1/3 innings. I like the Orioles to win here.

3. Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals (Royals +1.5, -125)

White Sox (Sale 9-1, 2.26) Royals (Volquez 5-4, 3.67)

White Sox are beginning to struggle coming in as loser of five in a row. Saturday the Royals scored seven runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to defeat the Sox.  Several Royals have very good career numbers against Sale.

I like the Royals here, but coming off of a bad start I do not doubt Chris Sale’s ability to get back on track and lead Chicago to victory. If Volquez can keep the Royals in the game before the bullpens take over then the advantage is in the Royals favor. I am picking the Royals to cover -1.5 here, meaning either Kansas City wins or loses by one run or less.

4. St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5, +125)

Cardinals (Wacha 2-5, 5.04)  Strasburg (8-0, 2.79)

Michael Wacha has given up 14 earned runs in his last eight innings pitched and lost his last five decisions.  I am picking the Nationals and Stephen Strasburg, who has a chance to improve to 9-0 on the season.

5. Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics (Athletics Moneyline-165)

Tigers (Pelfrey 0-4, 5.55)  A’s (Hill 7-3, 2.18)

The Tigers are 3-6 against left handed pitchers on the season. Rich Hill beat the Tigers on April 26, allowing no earned runs over seven innings. Hill gives the A’s the clear pitching advantage here. The Tigers offense has been hot, but Mike Pelfrey starting does not give Detroit the best chance. I like Oakland to win.

6. San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Padres Moneyline -120)

Padres (Pomeranz 4-4, 1.70) Diamondbacks (Bradley 1-0, 7.84)

Arizona is starting Archie Bradley who has just been called up from AAA. Over 10 career starts he has a 6.26 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. The advantage here is with Drew Pomeranz and the Padres.

7. Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (Mariners -1.5, +120)

Twins (Nolasco 1-3, 5.54)  Mariners (Walker 2-4, 2.70)

The Twins have won three in a row, I trend that should be coming to an end soon.  The Twins have lost the last five games that Nolasco has started.

Despite losing his last four decisions, Taijuan Walker has not allowed more then four earned runs in any starts this season. The Mariners are the better team with the better starting pitcher here. I like Seattle to win by more than a run.

8. Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (Braves Moneyline -130)

Marlins (Koehler 2-5, 4.79) Braves (Teheran 1-4, 2.57)

On April 16 Tom Koehler gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 inning to the Braves. Current Braves hitters are batting .370 against Koehler overall.

As bad as Atlanta has been this season, the Braves are 5-0 against the Marlins.Julio Teheran has allowed only one run or less in his last six starts.  For his career Teheran is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts against the Marlins.  I like Atlanta to complete the sweep.

9. Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets (Dodgers Moneyline -210)

Dodgers (Kershaw 7-1, 1.48) Mets (Colon 4-3, 3.44)

The Dodgers defeated the Mets 5-0 when Clayton Kershaw faced Bartolo Colon on May 17 in Los Angeles.

Kershaw is 7-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his ten career regular season starts against the Mets. I am expecting a Dodgers win.

 

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Tuesday May 3 Picks

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals (Washington Moneyline Even)

Nationals: Roark (2-2, 2.03) Royals: Young (1-4, 6.12)

The Royals have lost six of their last seven games and have been being shut out in three of their last four games. Washington starter, Tanner Roark is coming off of back to back starts where he has only allowed 2 hits and 0 runs in 7 innings pitched. I like the Nationals as the underdogs in this match-up against the struggling Royals and Chris Young.

 

 Chicago Cubs  @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Cubs -1.5,-115)

(Pirates: Niese 3-0, 5,08) Cubs: J. Arrieta (5-0, 1.00)

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Jake Arrieta is on fire and so are the Cubs as a team. The Cubs have won each of Arrieta’s five starts by at least four runs. I am going to keep riding Arrieta and the Cubs here to win by more then one run.

 

 

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles (Orioles Moneyline -120)

(Yankees: Severino (0-3, 6.86) Baltimore: Tillman (2-1, 3.24)

The Orioles lead Major League Baseball with a .296 home batting average.  At Camden Yards, Baltimore will be a challenge for the Yankees young pitcher Luis Severino. The Yankees are currently on a five game losing streak.  I like the Orioles to win here.

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets  (Mets -1.5, -115)

Mets: Harvey (2-3, 4.76) Braves: Wisler (o-2, 4.26)

Matt Harvey will be facing the Braves for the second time this season, he earned a win in his previous start at Atlanta, going 5 innings and allowing 2 earned runs.

The Braves are currently ranked last in the National League in team batting average and runs scored. I like the Mets to win be more than one run here.

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros (Over 8.5 Runs, -110)

Twins: Meyer (0-0, 18.00) Astros: McHugh(2-3, 6.65)

The last five times the Minnesota Twins have been involved in a game with an over/under of exactly 8.5 the game has gone over. Of the Twins last 14 games overall, only three have gone under. McHugh is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA against the Twins, but has been shaky in three out of five starts this season. With Alex Meyer making his first big league start for the Twins, I think the Twins bullpen sees at least three innings. I like the chances of this game having at least 9 runs scored. I am going with the over 8.5.

 

Recap from Monday May 2-  2 Wins 2 Loss  .27 Units gained

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays (Rangers Moneyline +122)  WON

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros (Astros Moneyline -180)  LOST

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals (Washington Moneyline +105) WON

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres (Over 7.5 -105) LOST

 

 

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Monday May 2 MLB Picks

Monday May 2 Picks

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays (Rangers Moneyline +122)

Rangers: Griffin (3-0, 2.52) Blue Jays: Dickey (1-3, 6.75)

Plus +122 odds is a good reason to take the Rangers here. A $100 wager on Texas will win you $122, while you would need to lay down $141 on Toronto in order to win $100. I would not take the Blue Jays here. RA Dickey has struggled this season, while Rangers starting pitcher A.J Griffin has pitched very well. Great opportunity to go with the Rangers to win here as an underdog.

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros (Astros Moneyline -180)

Twins: Berrios (0-1, 11.25) Astros: Keuchel (2-3, 4.41)

The Astros and Twins come into this game with the two worst records in the American League.  This losing trend should come to an end for the Astros and their ace Dallas Keuchel soon. I expect Houston to get back on track, at least in this game. The play is Houston to win.

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals (Washington Moneyline +105)

Nationals: Gonzalez (1-1, 1.42) Royals: Volquez (3-1, 3.34)

Gio Gonzalez had a great month for the Nationals and the Royals offense has been struggling. Very even match-up, but I like Washington in the underdog role here.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres (Over 7.5 -105)

Rockies: Gray (0-0 11.42) Padres: Shields (0-4, 3.34)

091615-MLB-Colorado-Rockies-third-baseman-Nolan-Arenado-PI-SW.vresize.1200.675.high.59
Nolan Arenado has had no problem hitting James Shields in his career (12 for 23) 4 HR 6 RBI

Rockies starter Jon Gray is capable of giving up seven runs on his own, while I do not necessarily believe he will, Gray does come in with a 6.57 ERA in 11 career starts.  The Rockies are scoring 5.5 runs a game, and some of their key hitters have had good success against James Shields.  Nolan Arenado will lead the way, he comes into the game hitting .522 with 4 HRs in his career against Shields. Look for at least 8 runs to be scored in this game. Over 7.5

 

 

Recapping last week MLB April 24-May 1 total: **13 wins 7 losses**

April 30 (1 win 2 losses)

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins (Tigers Moneyline-135) WON

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Over 8 Runs -110) LOST

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Marines (Royals Moneyline -110) LOST

May 1- No MLB picks

 

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