Monday July 2 MLB Free Pick

We went 14-7 last week. Today we have one free pick and three more all access picks ready to go.

June 30 Results:

Boston Red Sox Moneyline  WIN

LAA Angels Moneyline WIN

✅ Over 9.0 Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies LOSS

July 1 Results:

Tampa Bay Rays +0.5 first 5 innings WIN

✅ Chicago Cubs -1.5 LOSS

Here is my free pick for Monday July 2.

If you like this pick and want to have full access to all my picks each day, all access packages are available.

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APRIL 8 MLB FREE PICKS

The Rockies picked up the 3-2 win over the Braves in the 10th inning last night, giving us a 6-2 record on the season and up 7.8 units so far. For the second time this season, we have a two pick MLB day

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies  1:35pm EST

Projected Starters: Marlins: Trevor Richards at Phillies: Jake Arrieta
Jake Arrieta will be making his debut with the Phillies. In his career Arrieta is 3-0 when starting against the Marlins with an earned run average of 1.38.  This Marlins lineup appears to be even weaker than what Arrieta has faced against Miami in the past. Through the first eight games of this season, the Marlins hitters are tied for last in all of MLB with only two total homeruns hit as a team.

Marlins rookie right-hander Trevor Richards will be making his second career start.
Richards allowed five runs on eight hits over 4 1/3 innings against Boston in his debut.

The Marlins are currently on a four game losing streak where they have been outscored 36-6. All six of the Marlins losses this season have been by more than one run. The Phillies are big favorites here, rather than laying the juice we are playing the run line for much better value.

My pick: Phillies (-1.5) 

Los Angeles Dodgers  at San Francisco Giants  4:05pm EST

Projected Starters: Dodgers: Clayton Kershaw at Giants: Ty Blach 

This is the same pick we won with on opening day this season when Ty Blach outdueled Kershaw on the way to a 1-0 Giants victory.

In his career Kershaw is 22-10 when starting against San Fransico with an ERA of 1.58. The under is 24-7-2 in the last 33 starts that Kershaw has made against the Giants.

Ty Blach seems to love pitching aginst the Dodgers; he is 3-2 when starting against them with an ERA of 1.41.  The under is also 5-0 in Ty Blach’s career starts against the Dodgers.

My pick: Under (+7.0) 

Good luck and play ball!

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For more daily picks and this article please visit our main website for betting tips: http://www.betongetsportsstrong.com

MLB Playoffs Game 2: National League Wildcard Game Pick (Oct.5, 2016)

 

Yesterday we got off to a 0-1 start in the MLB playoffs. We decided to take the Orioles in a match-up that I said could go either way. There was a lot to like about the Orioles, so I took the value and +142 that the Orioles were getting at the time.

The game went 11 innings and Buck Showalter turned to Ubaldo Jimenez instead of Zach Britton. Ball game. That’s playoff baseball.

San Francisco Giants (87-75) at New York Mets (87-75) 8pm EST

Giants: Bumgarner (15-9, 2.74) Mets: Syndergaard (14-9, 2.60)

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The MLB Wildcard round concludes Wednesday night with two teams that despite shaky seasons; always seem to find a way to win when needed.

The San Francisco Giants are World Series champs from the last three even-number years, 2010, 2012 and 2014.  The New York Mets are the defending National League champs from last season.

Both teams come in with identical regular season records, with the Mets winning the regular season series by taking four of the seven match-ups over the Giants. Six of the seven games between these two teams this season went Over the total.

Bumgarner has made six career starts against the Mets, all time he is 5-0 with a 1.80 earned run average against them. On the road this season Bumgarner is 6-5 with a 3.39 ERA.

Noah Syndergaard is 1-2 with a 3.66 earned run average in three all-time starts against the Giants. At home this season Syndergaard is 6-6 with a 2.90 ERA. It is worth noting that Syndergaard has allowed 48 stolen bases in 57 attempts this season, that is a MLB worst since Hideo Nomo allowed 52 steals in 2001.

Overall, I am going with the Giants in this game. I would love to throw out a better reason as to why, but I am putting my trust into Madison Bumgarner, Bruce Bochy and the rest of San Francisco in this one. My main reason, the Giants have won the last 10 straight playoff series’ that they have played in. The Giants have a 34-14 post season record since 2010, which covers their last three playoff trips, all which ended with world championships.

There is definitely a lot to like about the Mets’ chances here, but I cannot bet against the Giants, not this early.  Giants Moneyline -105
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Wednesday May 25 MLB Picks

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (Cubs Moneyline -170)

Cubs (Arrieta 8-0, 1.29) Cardinals (Martinez 4-4, 3.56)

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Cubs are 9-0 when Arrieta has taken the mound this season

I am going to keep this real simple. Jake Arrieta is 8-0 and Cubs are 9-0 when he starts.  Betting on Jake Arrieta has not failed yet and there is no reason to jump ship now.  I’m picking the Cubs to win. 

 

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (Padres Moneyline +130)

Padres (Shields 2-6, 3.07)  Giants (Peavy 1-5, 8.21)

James Shields has lost twice to the Giants this season in 1-0 and 3-1 games. In those games he lost to Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzija. The Giants are 8-0 against the Padres this season, however the Padres have not yet face Jake Peavy this season, who has struggled.

After losing eight straight to the Giants this season, it is time for the Padre’s luck to turn around. I like San Diego as the underdog today.

 

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Tuesday May 10 MLB Picks

You have to own the bad days along with the good days. May 9 was not a good day in baseball for us, dropping all three picks.  The season is a sprint not a marathon and we are still running today.  Here are three MLB picks for Tuesday to get back on track. 

May 9 Record 0-3

Get Sports Strong  MLB Season Record 27-20

Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox (Over 9.5 Runs -120)

Athletics (Manaea 0-0, 7.20)  Red Sox (O’ Sullivan 0-0. 9.00)

Not a stellar pitching match-up. Sean O’Sullivan comes in with a 5.96 career ERA over 52 career starts.  A’s prospect Sean Manaea has allowed four runs in both of his first two career starts this season. After combining for 21 runs yesterday, I see these two teams going over 9.5 runs.

 

Detroit Tigers at Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5 Runs, +130)

Tigers (Fulmer 1-1, 6.30)  Nationals (Ross 3-1, 1.23)

Throughout the Tigers current seven game losing steak, you keep getting the feeling that the Tigers are too good to let this continue, but the bleeding has not stopped. Six of the seven losses during Detroit’s current losing steak have been by four runs or more.  The Tigers will send out rookie starter Micheal Fulmer who has given up 17 hits and 7 earned runs in 10 innings pitched so far.  Joe Ross has not allowed more than two runs in any start this season, and in the start were he allowed two earned runs he was facing the Cubs. I am picking Washington to win by more then one run.  With +130 odds this is a good opportunity to pick up some positive juice.

 

Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants (Blue Jays Moneyline -123)

Blue Jays (Happ 4-0, 2.50)  Giants (Cain 0-4, 7.84)

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The recent trend of these two starting pitchers heavily favors Toronto.  Blue Jays starter, J.A Happ has made eight consecutive quality starts going back to last season.  Giants starter, Matt Cain has only had one quality start this season in six attempts. Cain’s last start resulted in a 17-7 loss to the Colorado Rockies. I like the Blue Jays to pick up the road victory.

 

 

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