Check out my free pick for Saturday May 25 here:
Things are heating up again in Major League Baseball, and I absolutely love today’s card.
Check out my free picks here.
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We went 3-2 in MLB on Tuesday. Today we are taking it slow with one pick.
Here is my free pick for June 6
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A tough 0-3 yesterday makes this week interesting. This week we have had a five game losing streak, followed by a five game winning streak, followed by a current three game losing streak. Despite the 5-8 week so far in MLB, on the season our record is 45-38 up 11 Units.
I am making five picks today, with two free right here.
Washington Nationals (-168.0) at
Arizona Diamondbacks (+168.0) over +8.0
Stephen Strasburg is 4-3 in 10 career starts against Arizona with a 3.59 earned run average. The OVER is 7-3 in Strasburg those starts against the Diamondbacks.
Strasburg is 0-1 against Arizona this season. He allowed five earned runs over 6 1/3 innings against the Diamondbacks on April 27.
Arizona will be starting Troy Scribner who had a 5.68 earned run average in five Pacific Coast League AAA starts this season.
MY PICK: OVER 8.0 RUNS TWO UNITS
Seattle Mariners (-136.0) at
Detroit Tigers (+136.0) over +9.0
While not great in his career, Tigers start Matthew Boyd has always been better at home and a better day time pitcher. This season Boyd is 1-1 with 1.47 ERA and 0.93 WHIP at home.
Both the Tigers and Mariners have hit left handed pitching well this season. I give the edge to the Tigers in Game 1
MY PICK: Detroit Tigers moneyline (+133.0) TWO UNITS
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Yesterday we had an awful beat. We saw value in the Twins +186 and Minnesota lost to the New York Yankees 14-1.
This drops our record to 23-12 on the season in Major League baseball, still up 20.76 units on the season.
Here is our play for Tuesday April 24.
Projected Starters: Tigers: Zimmerman (1-0, 7.71 ERA) at Pirates: Kuhl (2-1, 4.57 ERA)
The OVER is 3-1 in Zimmerman’s four starts this season. The one UNDER came in a game against Cleveland where Zimmerman had to leave the game in the first inning after being hit in the face by a line drive.
One the season Zimmerman is 1-0 but has a 7.71 earned run average. He allowed four runs and six hits over six innings against Pittsburgh on opening day in a game that ended 13-10.
Pirates projected starter Chad Kuhl comes in with a 2-1 record and 4.57 earned run average. The OVER is 4-0 when he pitches this season. Kuhl allowed eight hits and four earned runs against Detroit on April 1 this season in a 8-6 Pirates victory.
The Pittsburgh bullpen has a 5.23 ERA this season and the Detroit bullpen has a 4.42 ERA this season
My pick: OVER 8.5 Runs Four Units
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Monday was a tough day in MLB but a great day in the NBA!
We went 2-0 in our NBA picks with the Warriors -9.5 and the OVER 215.5 in the 76ers-Heat game. However in baseball we were 0-2.
We took a chance with the underdog Texas Rangers who lost 8-4. Then in what looked to be a win, we saw the New York Mets head into the 8th inning with a 6-1 lead, only to allow six runs in that inning on their way to an 8-6 loss to the Washington Nationals. This drops our record to 11-10 on the season in Major League Baseball.
The show goes on today. Due to some postponed games and late lines, there is a good chance that we will be playing at least one more game later today.
Projected Starters: Marlin Garcia (0-0, 1.13) at Yankees: Tanka (2-1, 5.19 ERA
50/50 would I pick the Marlins? No. But with these odds do I think they have a better chance then the value indicates? Absolutely.
Jarlin Garcia comes in with a 1.13 ERA average on this season. This includes pitching six innings of no hit baseball against the Mets and six innings of one hit ball against the Cubs.
Make sure to list Jarlin Garcia as the starting pitcher for the Marlins when making this pick. There is positive value here even if the Marlins lose by a run.
My Picks (2 parts):
Part 1: Miami Marlins moneyline (+267.0) One Unit
Part 2: Miami Marlins +1,5 (+133) One Unit
Projected Starters: Cardinals: Wainwright (0-0, 5.06 at Cubs: Chatwood (0-2, 4.91 ERA)
Cubs projected started Tyler Chatwood is 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in four career games against the Cardinals.
Adam Wainwright is 10-2 with 3.79 career ERA at Wrigley Field. Value is on the Cardinals
My Pick: St. Louis Cardinals moneyline (+119.0) Two Units
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Friday the 13th lived up to the name. After consistently making no more than two plays a day, we made three picks yesterday and went 1-2. This drops our record to 10-8 on the season up 1.44 units. We are scaling back to just one pick for tonight for three units.
Projected Starters: Pirates: Taillon (2-0, 1.26) at Marlins: Richard (0-1, 8.64 ERA)
More juice then we have laid yet this season, , but I don’t expect the Pirates to lose again to the Marlins with Jameson Taillon on the mound.
My Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline (-152) Three Units
Yesterday the Yankees won 7-2 making our pick on the Yankees-Rays under 8 runs the first MLB loss for us this season.
So keeping score, this makes us 5-1 on this season’s Major League Baseball plays, all of which have been free. Hopefully we can get back on track with a win for you here.
Projected Starters: Reds: Homer Bailey vs Pirates: Steven Brault
Reds starter Homer Bailey is 6-2 all time when pitching at PNC Park with an 2.48 earned run average there. Bailey was impressive in the season opener against a Washington Nationals team that has owned him in the past. In that game Bailey went six innings and allowed only one run, on the way to a 2-0 defeat.
The Reds opened the season being swept by the Nationals at home, then they came back to beat the Cubs 1-0 in the only game of that series. The second game of the series was postponed Tuesday, and then the Reds were off yesterday, so Cincinnati is coming into this game with a rare two days off.
The Pittsburgh Pirates swept the Detroit Tigers to open their season, in a weird series were two games were originally postponed, which forced one double header. The Pirates won the season opener of that series 13-10 with the help of a very controversial call. After the 3-0 start, the Pirates split a two game series with the Twins.
Pirates projected starter, Steven Brault picked up the win in relief of the 13-10 victory over the Tigers. Brault has only made 11 career starts. He is 2-3 with a career earned run average of 4.56 and WHIP of 1.69.
With the +124 value on the Reds, you need to win just 46% of games to come ahead. With the Pirates currently -135 favorites you would have to win 57% of your bets to profit.
These are division rivals who I feel are pretty even. The Reds are only 1-3 right now, while the Pirates are 4-1. However, the Reds have had a more difficult schedule so far. These teams will go back and forth this season and tonight the value is on the Reds.
My Pick: Cincinnati Reds Money Line
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Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds
Projected Starters: Nationals: Max Scherzer vs Reds: Homer Bailey 4:10pm EST
As we approach day two of the MLB season, Washington is the first big favorite that I really feel the need to jump on.
Projected Cincinnati Reds starter Homer Bailey was 0-2 with a 25.41 ERA against the Nationals last season. The Reds lost those games 18-3 and 14-4. Nationals hitters have a career .467 earned run average against Homer Bailey. In his career Bailey is 1-5 when starting against Washington with an ERA of 8.44
The Nationals send Max Schrezer to the mound who pitched six shut out innings against the Reds last season.
My Pick: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Two Units
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