Tag: Tampa Bay

Saturday April 21 FREE PICK

On Friday April 20th we picked the Houston Astros 1.5 against the Chicago White Sox. Houston beat the White Sox 10-0. Yes, the -160 was more juice then we usually recommend laying in Major League Baseball, but my confidence in that play so high that I still went with it, and it worked out well.

That Houston Astros win gave us a 10 game winning streak and 22-10 record on the season in MLB up 23.76 units. This means already $23,760 in profit for a $1,000 a unit player, $2,376 on the season for an $100 a unit player, or $237 in profit for a ten dollar a unit player, based on my unit recommendations.

I am personally playing today’s free pick for four units. This means at -110 odds, a $1,000 unit bettor would lay $4,400, a $100 unit bettor would lay $440, a $10 a unit bettor would lay $44 and a $1 a unit bettor would lay $4.40.

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays 6:10pm EST

Projected Starters: Twins Gibson (1-0, 3.68 ERA) vs Tampa Bay: Snell (2-1, 2.95 ERA)

I think this total should be set at 8.5 but not 7.5.

While Minnesota project starter Kyle Gibson has pitched well this season, he is 1-4 against Tampa Bay in his career with a 7.05 ERA. The OVER is 5-1 in Gibson’s six career starts against Tampa Bay.

Blake Snell has made two career starts against the Twins. The OVER is 2-0 in those games and Snell has a career 6.75 ERA.

The OVER is 12-7 in Tampa Bay Rays games this season.

My pick: OVER 7.5 Runs -110 (Four Units)

 

We are playing one more MLB Game today as well.

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My Week 15 NFL Picks

Saturday, Dec. 17 @5:25 PST: Miami Dolphins (8-5) at New York Jets (4-9)

The Dolphins currently find themselves seventh in the AFC, just one spot out of the playoffs due to a tiebreaker that the Denver Broncos currently hold due to strength of schedule.  Miami will be starting Matt Moore at quarterback who will be making his start in almost five years after Ryan Tannehill suffered a season ending injury last week at against Arizona.

Looking at some trends here:

The Jets are are 7-1-1 against in their last 9 games played in December.  The Dolphins are 1-12 against the spread in their last 13 games played in December.

Jets are 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games against the AFC East. The Dolphins are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games against the AFC East.

The Dolphins are 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record, while the Jets are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

My Pick New York Jets +3

 

Sunday, Dec. 18 @10 am PST: Cleveland Browns (0-13) at Buffalo Bills (6-7)

The Browns stink and are 2-11 against the spread.

My Pick: Part one of a two team teaser 7 points (Bills -3)

 

Sunday, Dec. 18 @1:25 pm PST: Oakland Raiders (10-3) at San Diego Chargers (5-8)

The Raiders are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine road games. The Raiders are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games overall.

The Chargers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against the AFC West but only 3-10 against the spread  in their last 13 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Raiders are 5-1 on the road this season.

My Picks: Raiders –3  (This would also be a great game to tease at +7 you can get the Raiders +4 and Bills -3)

 

Sunday, Dec. 18 @5:30 PST: Tampa Bay Bucs (8-5) at Dallas Cowboys (11-2)

The  Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a touchdown underdog to Dallas despite their current five game winning streak both straight up and against the spread. During the winning streak the Buccaneers have not allowed more than 21 points in any of these games. The Buccaneers are 5-1 straight up on the road this season.

Rumors of a quarterback controversy are beginning to loom in Dallas despite a 11-2 record with rookie Dak Prescott under center. After starting the season 9-1 against the spread, Dallas has now dropped their last three games against the Vegas line.

Looking at some trends here:

Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and only are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

My Picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 

AND Single game 6 point teaser(-110)  (Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.0  and Under 53.0)

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