Sunday May 29 (Nine MLB Picks against Vegas)

Here are my nine plays for Sunday May 29

 

1. Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays  (Red Sox -1.5, +120)

Red Sox (Price 7-1, 5.34)  Blue Jays (Dickey 2-6, 4.60)

After a rough start to the season, David Price is now 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA over his past three starts. Price is also 8-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last 10 meetings against the Blue Jays. Since the start of last season,  RA Dickey is 0-5 with a 5.21 ERA in eight starts against Boston. I like the Red Sox here.

2. Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Indians (Orioles Moneyline -125)

Orioles (Tillman 6-1, 2.61)  Indians (Clevinger 0-1, 8.71)

Baltimore has lost five out of six games but I think things will begin turn around for the Orioles here.  Chris Tillman has been the Orioles best starting pitcher this season.

Cleveland rookie Mike Clevinger has allowed 10 earned runs in his first two starts over 10 1/3 innings. I like the Orioles to win here.

3. Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals (Royals +1.5, -125)

White Sox (Sale 9-1, 2.26) Royals (Volquez 5-4, 3.67)

White Sox are beginning to struggle coming in as loser of five in a row. Saturday the Royals scored seven runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to defeat the Sox.  Several Royals have very good career numbers against Sale.

I like the Royals here, but coming off of a bad start I do not doubt Chris Sale’s ability to get back on track and lead Chicago to victory. If Volquez can keep the Royals in the game before the bullpens take over then the advantage is in the Royals favor. I am picking the Royals to cover -1.5 here, meaning either Kansas City wins or loses by one run or less.

4. St. Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals (Nationals -1.5, +125)

Cardinals (Wacha 2-5, 5.04)  Strasburg (8-0, 2.79)

Michael Wacha has given up 14 earned runs in his last eight innings pitched and lost his last five decisions.  I am picking the Nationals and Stephen Strasburg, who has a chance to improve to 9-0 on the season.

5. Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics (Athletics Moneyline-165)

Tigers (Pelfrey 0-4, 5.55)  A’s (Hill 7-3, 2.18)

The Tigers are 3-6 against left handed pitchers on the season. Rich Hill beat the Tigers on April 26, allowing no earned runs over seven innings. Hill gives the A’s the clear pitching advantage here. The Tigers offense has been hot, but Mike Pelfrey starting does not give Detroit the best chance. I like Oakland to win.

6. San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Padres Moneyline -120)

Padres (Pomeranz 4-4, 1.70) Diamondbacks (Bradley 1-0, 7.84)

Arizona is starting Archie Bradley who has just been called up from AAA. Over 10 career starts he has a 6.26 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. The advantage here is with Drew Pomeranz and the Padres.

7. Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners (Mariners -1.5, +120)

Twins (Nolasco 1-3, 5.54)  Mariners (Walker 2-4, 2.70)

The Twins have won three in a row, I trend that should be coming to an end soon.  The Twins have lost the last five games that Nolasco has started.

Despite losing his last four decisions, Taijuan Walker has not allowed more then four earned runs in any starts this season. The Mariners are the better team with the better starting pitcher here. I like Seattle to win by more than a run.

8. Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (Braves Moneyline -130)

Marlins (Koehler 2-5, 4.79) Braves (Teheran 1-4, 2.57)

On April 16 Tom Koehler gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 inning to the Braves. Current Braves hitters are batting .370 against Koehler overall.

As bad as Atlanta has been this season, the Braves are 5-0 against the Marlins.Julio Teheran has allowed only one run or less in his last six starts.  For his career Teheran is 5-2 with a 2.71 ERA in 12 starts against the Marlins.  I like Atlanta to complete the sweep.

9. Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets (Dodgers Moneyline -210)

Dodgers (Kershaw 7-1, 1.48) Mets (Colon 4-3, 3.44)

The Dodgers defeated the Mets 5-0 when Clayton Kershaw faced Bartolo Colon on May 17 in Los Angeles.

Kershaw is 7-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his ten career regular season starts against the Mets. I am expecting a Dodgers win.

 

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Saturday May 7 MLB Picks

Here are my six picks for Saturday May 7

 

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees (Red Sox Moneyline -122)

Red Sox (Price, 4-0, 6.14)   Yankees (Eovaldi, 1-2, 5.46) 

For Price and Eovaldi, this is a rematch from a 8-7 Red Sox win on May 1. Despite the early season struggles of David Price, he has been better on the road (2.57 ERA) then at home (8.34 ERA). Collectively, Red Sox hitters have seen success against Nathan Eovaldi. David Ortiz, Dustin Pedroia and Hanley Ramirez are a combined 15 for 33 (.454 BA) in their careers against Eovaldi. Anything goes in this rivalry, but Price is still the better starting pitcher in this match-up. Boston also leads all of MLB in batting average, while the Yankees rank 27th.  With both bullpens being about even, I like the Red Sox to win here.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays (Dodgers Moneyline -175)

Dodgers (Kershaw, 3-1, 1.96) Blue Jays: Dickey (1-3, 5.73)

I’m betting on Clayton Kershaw over R.A. Dickey.  Dickey is coming off of his best start of the season, where he allowed one earned run in 6 1/3 innings.  The Blue Jays however, still lost that game and have lost five out of the six games that Dickey has started. There is a lot of juice here, but I like the  Dodgers as the money line pick to win.

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox (White Sox Moneyline -190)

Twins (Santana 0-1, 3.15) White Sox (Sale 6-0, 1.66)

Chris Sale has been great this season. The White Sox come in with the best record in the American League, while the Twins sit at the bottom. I took the White Sox last night and they won 10-4. I am taking the White Sox to win again.

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves (Over 7.5 Runs, -115)

Diamondbacks (Miller  0-3, 8.49) Braves (Teheran 0-3, 3.72)

Overs are 16-9-3 for the Braves this season. Overs are 16-14-1 for the Diamondbacks.  Juilo Teheran has been very sharp in his last three starts but the Atlanta bullpen is shaky. Diamondback starter Shelby Miller is off to a terrible start.  Over 7.5 runs scored is not too much to ask for here.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants  (Two picks: Giants Moneyline -165 and Over 7.5 Runs -105)

13 of the Giants last 15 games have gone over. With Jon Gray starting for the Rockies, 7.5 is a low number here. I am picking this game to go over 7.5 runs scored. I am also picking the Giants to win.

 

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Friday May 6 MLB Picks

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins ( Under 7 Runs -110)

Phillies: Velasquez (4-1, 1.44) Marlins: Chen (2-1, 4.26)

Phillies rookie Vince Velasquez has held his opponents to an .164 batting average this season. Only one of Velasquez five starts have gone over the run line this season. The Phillies will need Velasquez to be sharp once again. Offensively, the Phillies have a .166 batting average against left-handed pitchers, which is the worst in Major League Baseball. Phillies batters also only have a .167 career batting average against Marlins starter Wei-Yin Chen. With the numbers favoring the pitching, I am picking this game to go under 7 runs scored.

 

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox (Sox Moneyline -132)

Twins: Nolasco (1-0. 4.05) Sox: Latos (4-0, 1.84)

Twins hitter have a career average of .143 against Latos as a team. Twins have a 2-12 road record this season. With Matt Latos and the White Sox playing so well up to this point, I have to take the White Sox to win at home.

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles ( A’s Moneyline -106)

Athletics: Hill (3-3, 2.53)  Orioles: Jimenez (1-3, 5.20)

Rick Hill, the 36 year old left hander has pitched very well in this young season. He has a 0.95 ERA on the road this season in three starts. In those starts he faced the Mariners, Yankees and Tigers.  Against Ubaldo Jimenez, I like the Athletics in this game to win.

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Monday May 2 MLB Picks

Monday May 2 Picks

Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays (Rangers Moneyline +122)

Rangers: Griffin (3-0, 2.52) Blue Jays: Dickey (1-3, 6.75)

Plus +122 odds is a good reason to take the Rangers here. A $100 wager on Texas will win you $122, while you would need to lay down $141 on Toronto in order to win $100. I would not take the Blue Jays here. RA Dickey has struggled this season, while Rangers starting pitcher A.J Griffin has pitched very well. Great opportunity to go with the Rangers to win here as an underdog.

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros (Astros Moneyline -180)

Twins: Berrios (0-1, 11.25) Astros: Keuchel (2-3, 4.41)

The Astros and Twins come into this game with the two worst records in the American League.  This losing trend should come to an end for the Astros and their ace Dallas Keuchel soon. I expect Houston to get back on track, at least in this game. The play is Houston to win.

Washington Nationals @ Kansas City Royals (Washington Moneyline +105)

Nationals: Gonzalez (1-1, 1.42) Royals: Volquez (3-1, 3.34)

Gio Gonzalez had a great month for the Nationals and the Royals offense has been struggling. Very even match-up, but I like Washington in the underdog role here.

Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres (Over 7.5 -105)

Rockies: Gray (0-0 11.42) Padres: Shields (0-4, 3.34)

091615-MLB-Colorado-Rockies-third-baseman-Nolan-Arenado-PI-SW.vresize.1200.675.high.59
Nolan Arenado has had no problem hitting James Shields in his career (12 for 23) 4 HR 6 RBI

Rockies starter Jon Gray is capable of giving up seven runs on his own, while I do not necessarily believe he will, Gray does come in with a 6.57 ERA in 11 career starts.  The Rockies are scoring 5.5 runs a game, and some of their key hitters have had good success against James Shields.  Nolan Arenado will lead the way, he comes into the game hitting .522 with 4 HRs in his career against Shields. Look for at least 8 runs to be scored in this game. Over 7.5

 

 

Recapping last week MLB April 24-May 1 total: **13 wins 7 losses**

April 30 (1 win 2 losses)

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins (Tigers Moneyline-135) WON

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Over 8 Runs -110) LOST

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Marines (Royals Moneyline -110) LOST

May 1- No MLB picks

 

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