Friday April 29 MLB Picks

MLB Record April 24-28: 7-5

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs (Cubs -1.5,-140)

Braves: Blair (0-1, 5.06) Cubs: Lester (2-1, 1.98)

14 of the Cubs 16 wins this season have been by more then one run. The Cubs are as hot as any team in baseball and the Braves have been terrible. The value is not good picking the Cubs Money line, but at -140, you have to like the Cubs here to win by more then a run.

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins (Over 9 Runs, -115 )

Tigers: Fulmer (MLB Debut) Twins: Hughes (1-3, 3.91)

Phil Hughes has a 4.79 ERA and 3-4 record in his last 8 starts against Detroit and Miguel Cabrera has terrorized Hughes in his career (.447 BA 5HR 13RBI).

It’s hard to predict what the 23 year old Micheal  Fulmer will do for the Tigers in his big league debut, but I’d be surprised if he goes past six innings. I expect the Tigers bullpen to pitch more then  3 innings in this game, which I do not expect to be a pitchers duel. With the Twins offense starting to come alive, I’m picking OVER 9 RUNS.

 

Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondback

Two picks: Rockies Moneyline +128 and Over 8.5 Runs -105

Rockies: Chatwood (2-2, 3.47)  Diamondbacks: Ray (1-0, 3.80)

Very even match-up, but good +28 juice is on the Rockies side. Chatwood allowed 1 earned run in 6.1 innings pitched in a 4-3 win against Arizona on April 6.  Robbie Ray is a good young pitcher but was hit hard by the Pirates in his last outing. I like the Rockies +128 to win this game. Also with the 5th and 6th highest scoring teams in MLB meeting up, I like this game to go over 8.5 runs.

 

Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Marines (Mariners Moneyline -160)

Royals: Medlen (1-1, 6.00)  Mariners: Hernandez (1-2, 1.80)

Royals are always tough and have a great pen, but the chance to take King Felix at home with this much of an edge over his opposing starting pitcher is why I like Seattle to win.

 

Twitter @BetSportsstrong

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