Indians (Tomlin 9-1, 3.32) Blue Jays (Stroman 6-4, 5.33)
The Cleveland Indians are the hottest team in baseball and hotter than they have ever been since 1951. That is the last time the Tribe had a 13 game winning streak. The last seven Cleveland wins all came on the road. Of course no team can win everyday in baseball, so odds markers may think this is the perfect time for the Tribe to stumble.
Value is very important in baseball betting when you can find it. Think about a stud pitcher like Clayton Kershaw who is usually favored -250 to -325 everytime he pitches. If you ride Kershaw each start it only takes one loss to wipe out your profits from two and maybe even three of his previous wins.
Currently the Cleveland Indians are +112 underdogs to Toronto. How often do you get to take a team on a 13 game winning streak as an underdog? With those odds you would expect a decisive advantage for Toronto on the mound, but this is not the case.
Marcus Stroman has allowed four earned runs or more in five of his last six starts, his overall earned run average during this span is 8.44. Stroman has a 5.90 earned run average in eight home starts this season and a 5.27 earned run average in the nine day games he has started. As a team Toronto has dropped seven of their past 11 games.
Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin is 5-0 with a 2.76 earned run average on the road this season. Current Blue Jays have a career .214 batting average against Tomlin.
Cleveland is 9-6 against the American League East on the season. Toronto is 5-9 against the American League Central.
Maybe Friday will be the afternoon that the Indians amazing streak finally comes to an end. But as hot as the Indians are right now, I don’t see taking the Blue Jays as favorites as the right play.
Here is a chance to pick an underdog that is on fire who is also coming in with the starting pitching advantage. Take Cleveland as the money line +112 underdog here.
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