Toledo at BYU (Friday Sept. 30) and MAC Rankings

Conference play begins for 10 Mid-American Conference teams this weekend. After four weeks of play here is how I currently rank the teams in the MAC

  1. Western Michigan 4-0 @ Central Michigan Oct.
  2. Toledo 3-0 @ BYU Sept. 30
  3. Central Michigan 3-1 vs Western Michigan Oct. 1
  4. Ball State 3-1 vs Northern Illinois Oct. 1
  5. Ohio 2-2 @ Miami (Ohio) Oct. 1
  6. Akron 2-2 @ Kent Oct. 1
  7. Eastern Michigan 3-1 @ Bowling Green Oct. 1
  8. Buffalo 1-2 @ Boston College Oct. 1
  9. Miami (Ohio) 0-4 vs Ohio Oct. 1
  10. Bowling Green 1-3 vs. Eastern Michigan Oct. 1
  11. Kent State 1-3 vs Akron Oct. 1
  12. Northern Illinois 0-4 at Ball State Oct. 1

 

Toledo at BYU (Friday Sept. 30)

The 1-3 Cougars have had all of their first four games decided by three points or less

As we take a look at technically week 4 of the college football season, but week 3 for most teams, lets do a quick recap of last weeks games. BYU’s first four opponents have a combined record of 14-4.

The 3-0 Rockets will be facing their biggest test thus far in the season. Toledo has cruised so far winning its first three games by a combined total of 98 points but their opponents have a combined record of 1-10.

Toledo is currently a four point underdog. The Rockets are 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games as a road underdog of between 3.5 to 10 points. Toledo is also 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight non-conference games against the spread. Overall Toledo has won five straight games against the spread as a home underdog.

Brigham Young is 6-0 against the spread in their last six home games but only 3-8 in their last 11 games against the spread when favored between 3.5 to 10 points.

Something has too give here, Toledo is 3-0 against the spread this season and despite a 1-3 record overall, BYU is a perfect 4-0 against the spread so far this season.

The Under is 18-3 in BYU’s last 21 Friday games. The Under is 14-3 in Toledo’s last 17 games as a road underdog.

I predicted this score without looking at the Spread or over/under. I see Toledo covering +4 and this game going Under 52 by the slimmest of margins. Although this is my lean, it is too close for comfort.

Prediction BYU 27 Toledo 24

 

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