Louisiana Tech (8-4, 6-2) and Western Kentucky (9-3, 7-1) both head into Saturday’s Conference USA Championship game as the leagues two highest scoring teams and tied for 5th in the nation averaging 44 points per game.
This is a rematch from Oct. 6, where the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs came into the game as 3 point home underdog before pulling off a 55-52 win. The Bulldogs led 52-31 going into the 4th quarter as well and managed to hold of the Hilltoppers comeback attempt.
Western Kentucky started off the week as a 7.5 point favorite and the spread has now climbed to 10 point advantage for the Hilltoppers.
These are two evenly balanced teams and I believe the spread is to high here due to last weeks results. Louisiana Tech is coming off of a terrible 39-24 upset loss to Southern Mississippi. Western Kentucky is coming off of a very impressive 60-6 win over Marshall.
I expect Louisiana Tech to play much better this week, and I expect an offensive shootout that can go either way. Western Kentucky has scored over 40 points nine times this season and Louisiana Tech has scored over 40 points eight times this season.
Louisiana Tech is 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Bulldogs have also covered in their last four games against a team with a winning record. I liked Louisiana Tech earlier this week at +7.5, I like them even more as the spread has increased to +10 . As a +310 underdog Louisiana Tech might be a decent money line gamble as well.
Prediction Western Kentucky 49 Louisiana Tech 45
My picks: Louisiana Tech +10 and OVER 80
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https://www.sportswatchmonitor.com (Get Sports Strong)