My Week 15 NFL Picks

Saturday, Dec. 17 @5:25 PST: Miami Dolphins (8-5) at New York Jets (4-9)

The Dolphins currently find themselves seventh in the AFC, just one spot out of the playoffs due to a tiebreaker that the Denver Broncos currently hold due to strength of schedule.  Miami will be starting Matt Moore at quarterback who will be making his start in almost five years after Ryan Tannehill suffered a season ending injury last week at against Arizona.

Looking at some trends here:

The Jets are are 7-1-1 against in their last 9 games played in December.  The Dolphins are 1-12 against the spread in their last 13 games played in December.

Jets are 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games against the AFC East. The Dolphins are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games against the AFC East.

The Dolphins are 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record, while the Jets are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

My Pick New York Jets +3

Sunday, Dec. 18 @10 am PST: Cleveland Browns (0-13) at Buffalo Bills (6-7)

The Browns stink and are 2-11 against the spread.

My Pick: Part one of a two team teaser 7 points (Bills -3)

Sunday, Dec. 18 @1:25 pm PST: Oakland Raiders (10-3) at San Diego Chargers (5-8)

The Raiders are 8-1 against the spread in their last nine road games. The Raiders are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games overall.

The Chargers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against the AFC West but only 3-10 against the spread  in their last 13 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Raiders are 5-1 on the road this season.

My Picks: Raiders –3  (This would also be a great game to tease at +7 you can get the Raiders +4 and Bills -3)

Sunday, Dec. 18 @5:30 PST: Tampa Bay Bucs (8-5) at Dallas Cowboys (11-2)

The  Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a touchdown underdog to Dallas despite their current five game winning streak both straight up and against the spread. During the winning streak the Buccaneers have not allowed more than 21 points in any of these games. The Buccaneers are 5-1 straight up on the road this season.

Rumors of a quarterback controversy are beginning to loom in Dallas despite a 11-2 record with rookie Dak Prescott under center. After starting the season 9-1 against the spread, Dallas has now dropped their last three games against the Vegas line.

Looking at some trends here:

Cowboys are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and only are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

My Picks: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 

AND Single game 6 point teaser(-110)  (Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.0  and Under 53.0)