Atlanta Braves 52-64 (Newcomb 1-7, 4.45 ERA) at Colorado Rockies 66-52 (Freeland 11-7, 3.70 ERA) 8:40pm CST
The Colorado Rockies currently find themselves tied with the Arizona Diamondbacks for the two National League Wildcard spots, holding a five game lead over the St. Louis Cardinals. Tonight the Rockies host, the Atlanta Braves, who seem to be well on their way to their fourth consecutive losing season.
The Braves will be sending rookie south paw Sean Newcomb to the mound tonight. Based on Newcomb’s 1-7 record and 4.45 earned run average, a quick glance at the opening line may lead you to expect him to get shelled tonight by the Rockies line-up.
Coors Field is not just any ballpark, however Newcomb may be up for the challenge since he has pitched much better on the road this season. In his four starts away from SunTrust Park, the rookie is 1-1 with a 3.43 earned run average while holding opponents to .197 batting average, opposed to his 0-6 record and 5.02 earned run average at home.
Alot of other signs point to the under here, including seven of the Rockies last eight Tuesday home games going under the Vegas total. Seven of Sean Newcombs 11 career starts have gone under the total as well and the under is also 9-5-1 in Atlanta’s last 15 games.
The Rockies have a reputation for scoring a lot of runs but only 44% of the Rockies games have gone over this season (49-63-6). The Under is also 8-2 in the Rockies last ten games overall and 15-4-2 in Rockies starter Kyle Freeland’s starts this season.
Once again I see this as an excellent opportunity to take advantage of the inflated 11.5 over/under due to this game being played at Coors Field.
Regarding my prediction on the outcome, I like the Rockies to win against the Moneyline as well. The Braves have lost their last 11 games in Colorado and are 2-9 in their last 11 games as underdog.
The Rockies have won 21 of their last 29 home games with the total going under in seven of the Rockies last eight home games on Tuesday.
I strongly recommend two plays here: UNDER 11.5 RUNS and Rockies Moneyline
Get Strong Sports Prediction: Rockies 7 Braves 3
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