Dec. 22 Idaho Potato Bowl Prediction: Central Michigan Chippewas (8-4) vs Wyoming Cowboys (7-5)
Central Michigan Chippewas (8-4) vs Wyoming Cowboys (7-5)
I usually like to stick with facts more than opinions. Opinions however, will always play a big role when analyzing and talking sports. We are all different, and as humans we all have our own unique perspectives, so often we can watch the same things. at the same times. and still view things totally different.
As someone who has watched Wyoming several times these past two seasons, I do not understand the Josh Allen hype. The young man simply does not look like a top 20 player to me when you look at on the field production. When I see Josh Allen, I see former Cleveland Browns and Raiders quarterback Charlie Frye, and honestly Frye was a better college player in my opinion. I could go deeper but I don’t want this to turn into a Josh Allen article. However, Allen’s hype is a major reason why I think Wyoming is now a three point favorite.
Behind NFL prospect Josh Allen, the Wyoming Cowboys rank 126th in the nation in total offense with 286 yards per game. The only offense that ranks worse that Central Michigan has seen this season was Kent State, who ranks 128th. Central Michigan defeated Kent State 42-23 on Nov. 14.
Wyoming’s strength has been their defense which ranks number three in the Mountain West and 21st in the nation. Wyoming ranks fifth nationally allowing only 160 passing yards a game and 55th nationally against the rush, allowing 172 yards a game.
On offense the Chippewas are led by former Michigan Wolverine quarterback Shane Morris who has thrown 14 touchdowns against only two interceptions during the Chippewas five game winning streak.
With a high of 31 degrees expected in Boise, Idaho Friday and with both teams having strong defenses against the pass, expect both teams to try to establish the rushing game. CMU running back Jonathan Ward will lead the way, he has 990 rushing yards on the season and is averaging six yards a carry.
Wyoming running primarily uses two running backs Trey Woods and Kellen Overstreet, who have 870 rushing yards on the season and a 3.9 yards per carry average between them both.
Central Michigan ranks 54th nation defensively, 23rd against the pass and 91st against the run allowing over 190 rushing yards a game. Central Michigan is tied for second in the nation defensively as a team with 19 passes intercepted.
Central Michigan has won its last five games in a row both straight up and against the spread. In three of those five games Central Michigan came in as the underdog. The last loss for the Chippewas came on Oct. 14, when they fell to the Toledo Rockets 30-10. Toledo ranks eighth in the nation in offensive total yardage and has more firepower than what Central Michigan will see from Wyoming.
The over/under is 2-10 in Wyoming games this season and 7-5 in Central Michigan games. Every game during the Chippewas current five game winning streak has gone over the total. Wyoming has seen the point total go under in their last six games.
This is a good opportunity for Josh Allen to impress his critics and NFL scouts. However, Allen has not yet thrown for over 240 yards against a FBS team all season. I like Central Michigan +3 to be able to grind out more offense in a cold defensive match-up. I am also leaning towards the under.
Lines: Wyoming -3 O/U 45.5
Get Sports Strong Predictions: Central Michigan 24 Wyoming 17
Recommended Play: CENTRAL MICHIGAN +3
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