Dec. 23 Dollar General Bowl: Toledo (11-2) vs. Appalachian St (8-4)

The Dollar General is a rematch of last season’s 2016 Camellia Bowl, where Appalachian State defeated Toledo 31-28.  Toledo came into last season’s match-up as a point favorite and the over and under was 59.5.

Both teams are very strong and experienced at the quarterback position. Appalachian State is led by fourth year starter Taylor Lamb at quarterback. Lamb threw for 119 yards and rushed for 126 yards last season against Toledo. In his career Lamb has scored a total of 113 touchdowns for Appalachian State and is the Sun Belt all-time record holder with 90 career touchdown passes.

Toledo senior quarterback Logan Woodside has thrown for 93 touchdowns and over 10,000 yards in his career. The Rockets will be the highest ranked offensive team that the Mountaineers have seen this season. Toledo averages 510 yards per game and 39.4 points.

Appalachian State ranked second in the Sun Belt conference with 215 rushing yards per game and first with 5.4 yards per carry. This could be a problem for the Rockets rushing defense.

Toledo is 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-conference games and the over is 6-2 in Rockets last eight non-conference games.  Appalachian State is  4-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record.

Last season I picked Toledo -1 and the under 59.5 point. The Toledo pick lost, but the under won but just a half point. In this 2017 match-up season Toledo is currently a 7.5 point favorite and the over/under total is 63 points.

Appalachian State ranked second in the Sun Belt conference with 215 rushing yards per game and first with 5.4 yards per carry. This could be a problem for the Rockets rushing defense.

I think the 7.5 point line, with the availability to buy a half point and get these to 8 points, is a bit high. I like Appalachian State to cover and the over.

 

Lines: Toledo -7.5

Get Sports Strong Predictions: Toledo 34 Appalachian State 31

Recommended Plays: Appalachian State +8 buying the hook if available and OVER 61 points

Twitter @GetSportsstrong
https://www.facebook.com/getsportsstrong

For more daily picks and this article please visit our main website for betting tips: http://www.betongetsportsstrong.com

GetStrong

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s